MMA Handicapper Stats: Rothbardian |
|
Rothbardian : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 34 (61%) Losing Events: 22 (39%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.19 units Most Staked On One Event: 22.62 units Best Event: 10.56 units Worst Event: -7.24 units Average Event: 0.60 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 15.47 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -14.81 |
Rothbardian : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
190.865 |
5.3 |
3% |
5.4 / 81.155 (7%) |
|
-2.5 / 33.22 (-8%) |
9 / 13 (41%) |
0.24 |
2023 |
323.81 |
28.3 |
9% |
-10.0 / 107.82 (-9%) |
|
21.6 / 86.7 (25%) |
25 / 9 (74%) |
0.83 |
|
Rothbardian : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Rothbardian : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
487.245 |
32.7 |
7% |
-2.6 / 175.885 (-1%) |
19.5 / 203.11 (10%) |
15.8 / 108.25 (15%) |
Bellator |
3.5 |
2.5 |
73% |
|
|
2.5 / 3.5 (73%) |
PFL |
8.32 |
-0.9 |
-11% |
-1.7 / 3.79 (-46%) |
0.4 / 0.5 (77%) |
0.5 / 4.03 (12%) |
Other |
15.61 |
-0.7 |
-4% |
-0.2 / 9.3 (-3%) |
-0.7 / 2.17 (-32%) |
0.3 / 4.14 (6%) |
|
Rothbardian : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
23 (14%) |
16 |
70 % |
31.37 |
2.11 |
0.09 |
7% |
Slight Favorites |
83 (51%) |
47 |
57 % |
113.92 |
-2.33 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
43 (26%) |
17 |
40 % |
36.08 |
-8.34 |
-0.19 |
-23% |
Big Underdogs |
14 (9%) |
5 |
36 % |
7.61 |
3.93 |
0.28 |
52% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
13 (8%) |
7 |
54 % |
16.83 |
1.25 |
0.10 |
7% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (6%) |
3 |
33 % |
8.98 |
-4.95 |
-0.55 |
-55% |
Position 3-5 |
47 (29%) |
25 |
53 % |
52.61 |
1.72 |
0.04 |
3% |
6+ (Undercard) |
94 (58%) |
50 |
53 % |
110.56 |
-2.64 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
|
Rothbardian : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (4%) |
5 |
71 % |
7.68 |
2.68 |
0.38 |
35% |
Light Heavy |
11 (7%) |
3 |
27 % |
12.01 |
-5.67 |
-0.52 |
-47% |
Middleweight |
21 (13%) |
12 |
57 % |
27.69 |
3.65 |
0.17 |
13% |
Welterweight |
19 (12%) |
9 |
47 % |
21.60 |
0.20 |
0.01 |
1% |
Lightweight |
18 (11%) |
9 |
50 % |
22.49 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0% |
Featherweight |
23 (14%) |
12 |
52 % |
22.82 |
-3.56 |
-0.15 |
-16% |
Bantamweight |
17 (10%) |
10 |
59 % |
17.83 |
1.88 |
0.11 |
11% |
Flyweight |
15 (9%) |
9 |
60 % |
16.72 |
1.84 |
0.12 |
11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
32 (20%) |
16 |
50 % |
40.14 |
-5.73 |
-0.18 |
-14% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.80 |
-0.80 |
-0.80 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
5 (3%) |
2 |
40 % |
5.27 |
-2.56 |
-0.51 |
-49% |
Flyweight |
9 (6%) |
3 |
33 % |
12.51 |
-4.84 |
-0.54 |
-39% |
Strawweight |
17 (10%) |
11 |
65 % |
21.56 |
2.47 |
0.15 |
11% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
156 (95%) |
131 |
84 % |
Slight Favorites |
9 (5%) |
7 |
78 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
165 |
138 |
84 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
105 (24%) |
83 |
79 % |
50-65% |
94 (21%) |
58 |
62 % |
35-50% |
48 (11%) |
18 |
38 % |
<35% chance |
191 (44%) |
27 |
14 % |
|
438 |
186 |
42 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Rothbardian 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
10.46 |
3.9 |
37% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,038.76 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
18.3 |
5.1 |
28% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.76 |
$1,091.92 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
12.8 |
2.7 |
21% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.92 |
$1,120.93 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
10.5 |
-1.9 |
-18% |
|
$11.21 |
$1,120.93 |
$1,100.07 |
11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
0.75 |
0.7 |
88% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,100.07 |
$1,107.30 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
6.54 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$11.07 |
$1,107.30 |
$1,108.15 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
22.22 |
-5.1 |
-23% |
$50 |
$11.08 |
$1,108.15 |
$1,001.99 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
0.95 |
0.8 |
89% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.99 |
$1,010.44 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
17.91 |
2.7 |
15% |
$50 |
$10.10 |
$1,010.44 |
$988.11 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
22.62 |
4.7 |
21% |
$50 |
$9.88 |
$988.11 |
$984.13 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
1 |
0.5 |
48% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.13 |
$988.81 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
22.35 |
-1.2 |
-5% |
$50 |
$9.89 |
$988.81 |
$927.12 |
15th Sep |
LFA 167 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
38% |
$50 |
$9.27 |
$927.12 |
$882.47 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
17.77 |
8.9 |
50% |
$50 |
$8.82 |
$882.47 |
$910.81 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 299 |
2 |
1.1 |
56% |
$50 |
$9.11 |
$910.81 |
$870.97 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
7.15 |
3.8 |
54% |
$50 |
$8.71 |
$870.97 |
$854.30 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$50 |
$8.54 |
$854.30 |
$795.76 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
12.85 |
2.0 |
15% |
$50 |
$7.96 |
$795.76 |
$761.55 |
7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
0.75 |
0.8 |
103% |
$50 |
$7.62 |
$761.55 |
$717.44 |
14th Oct |
Cage Warriors 161 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
48% |
$50 |
$7.17 |
$717.44 |
$672.59 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
15.71 |
1.6 |
10% |
$50 |
$6.73 |
$672.59 |
$633.64 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
21.4 |
5.9 |
27% |
$50 |
$6.34 |
$633.64 |
$620.79 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
7.08 |
1.7 |
24% |
$50 |
$6.21 |
$620.79 |
$581.37 |
11th Nov |
Cage Warriors 163 |
1 |
0.6 |
59% |
|
$5.81 |
$581.37 |
$584.80 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
17.04 |
0.3 |
2% |
$50 |
$5.85 |
$584.80 |
$536.49 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
17.08 |
0.6 |
3% |
$50 |
$5.36 |
$536.49 |
$489.48 |
24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
4.29 |
1.3 |
31% |
$50 |
$4.89 |
$489.48 |
$446.07 |
25th Nov |
Cage Warriors 164 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
$50 |
$4.46 |
$446.07 |
$393.84 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
12.68 |
-7.2 |
-57% |
$50 |
$3.94 |
$393.84 |
$315.41 |
8th Dec |
PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships |
1.33 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$3.15 |
$315.41 |
$311.22 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
15.95 |
-1.8 |
-11% |
$50 |
$3.11 |
$311.22 |
$255.60 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
16.1 |
-4.0 |
-25% |
$50 |
$2.56 |
$255.60 |
$195.49 |
23rd Dec |
A1 Combat 16 |
1.13 |
0.4 |
37% |
$50 |
$1.95 |
$195.49 |
$146.31 |
24th Dec |
ACA 168 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
52% |
$50 |
$1.46 |
$146.31 |
$97.52 |
12th Jan |
LFA 174 |
1.54 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
$50 |
$0.98 |
$97.52 |
$46.02 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
13.325 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
$50 |
$0.46 |
$46.02 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
12.63 |
3.2 |
25% |
$50 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$981.63 |
27th Jan |
Oktagon 52 |
1 |
0.6 |
61% |
$50 |
$9.82 |
$981.63 |
$937.66 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
9.35 |
3.9 |
42% |
$50 |
$9.38 |
$937.66 |
$924.34 |
9th Feb |
LFA 176 |
1.33 |
0.6 |
49% |
$50 |
$9.24 |
$924.34 |
$880.33 |
10th Feb |
Oktagon 53 |
0.67 |
-0.7 |
-100% |
|
$8.80 |
$880.33 |
$874.44 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
16.04 |
-2.5 |
-16% |
$50 |
$8.74 |
$874.44 |
$802.22 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
14.65 |
-5.5 |
-38% |
$50 |
$8.02 |
$802.22 |
$707.83 |
23rd Feb |
LFA 177 |
1.17 |
-1.2 |
-100% |
$50 |
$7.08 |
$707.83 |
$649.55 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
8.95 |
1.7 |
19% |
$50 |
$6.50 |
$649.55 |
$610.63 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
15.82 |
-1.6 |
-10% |
$50 |
$6.11 |
$610.63 |
$551.09 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15.36 |
4.9 |
32% |
$50 |
$5.51 |
$551.09 |
$528.18 |
15th Mar |
Cage Warriors 167 |
0.67 |
-0.7 |
-100% |
$50 |
$5.28 |
$528.18 |
$474.64 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
10.52 |
-2.4 |
-23% |
$50 |
$4.75 |
$474.64 |
$413.36 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
8.24 |
-0.4 |
-4% |
$50 |
$4.13 |
$413.36 |
$361.85 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
8.93 |
4.3 |
49% |
$50 |
$3.62 |
$361.85 |
$327.55 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
9.46 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
$50 |
$3.28 |
$327.55 |
$276.77 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
16.59 |
-7.2 |
-44% |
$50 |
$2.77 |
$276.77 |
$206.74 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
1.75 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
$50 |
$2.07 |
$206.74 |
$153.13 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
8.18 |
1.5 |
18% |
$50 |
$1.53 |
$153.13 |
$105.36 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
14.69 |
10.6 |
72% |
$50 |
$1.05 |
$105.36 |
$66.49 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -193.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Rothbardian : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Steve Erceg |
1.54 |
2.7 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Anthony Smith |
Vitor Petrino |
5.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:0) |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.59 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.75 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
|
|
5. |
May '24 |
Drakkar Klose |
Joaquim Silva |
1.65 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Karine Silva |
Ariane Lipski |
2.20 |
1.58 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
May '24 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.43 |
0.66 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
May '24 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.43 |
1.33 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Chidi Njokuani |
Rhys McKee |
1.71 |
1.33 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Chris Weidman |
Bruno Silva |
3.30 |
0.43 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Youssef Zalal |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.05 |
0.33 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Fernando Padilla |
Luis Pajuelo |
1.63 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Jailton Junior |
1.89 |
1.33 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.74 |
1.33 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Brian Ortega |
Yair Rodriguez |
2.45 |
0.7 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Max Griffin |
Jeremiah Wells |
2.45 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Leslie Hernandez |
Brittany Camozzi |
1.49 |
1.33 |
TKO, R1 (4:58) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Loma Lookboonmee |
Bruna Brasil |
1.39 |
2.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Rodolfo Vieira |
Armen Petrosyan |
1.87 |
1.65 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Gregory Rodrigues |
Brad Tavares |
1.69 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:55) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Rothbardian : Progress Chart |
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