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MMA Handicapper Stats: FreeLunchTrades |
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FreeLunchTrades : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 13 (50%)
Losing Events: 13 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 41.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 91.00 units
Best Event: 22.67 units
Worst Event: -15.77 units
Average Event: 1.29 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -21.69 |
FreeLunchTrades : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
375 |
5.1 |
1% |
18.4 / 304 (6%) |
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-8.9 / 35 (-25%) |
2 / 3 (40%) |
1.01 |
| 2023 |
712.5 |
28.5 |
4% |
25.0 / 549 (5%) |
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-7.0 / 93 (-7%) |
11 / 10 (52%) |
1.36 |
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FreeLunchTrades : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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FreeLunchTrades : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
985 |
41.1 |
4% |
35.0 / 789.5 (4%) |
1.9 / 87.5 (2%) |
4.2 / 108 (4%) |
| Other |
102.5 |
-7.5 |
-7% |
8.4 / 63.5 (13%) |
4.1 / 19 (22%) |
-20.0 / 20 (-100%) |
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FreeLunchTrades : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
58 (38%) |
40 |
69 % |
367.00 |
-20.43 |
-0.35 |
-6% |
| Slight Favorites |
62 (41%) |
43 |
69 % |
362.00 |
63.73 |
1.03 |
18% |
| Slight Underdogs |
18 (12%) |
6 |
33 % |
84.00 |
-16.50 |
-0.92 |
-20% |
| Big Underdogs |
13 (9%) |
4 |
31 % |
40.00 |
16.60 |
1.28 |
42% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
12 (8%) |
7 |
58 % |
90.50 |
2.61 |
0.22 |
3% |
| Co-Main Event |
14 (9%) |
8 |
57 % |
76.50 |
-12.91 |
-0.92 |
-17% |
| Position 3-5 |
41 (27%) |
25 |
61 % |
230.50 |
17.50 |
0.43 |
8% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
84 (56%) |
53 |
63 % |
455.50 |
36.19 |
0.43 |
8% |
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FreeLunchTrades : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
10 (7%) |
6 |
60 % |
60.00 |
-11.40 |
-1.14 |
-19% |
| Light Heavy |
13 (9%) |
10 |
77 % |
77.50 |
26.14 |
2.01 |
34% |
| Middleweight |
16 (11%) |
12 |
75 % |
97.00 |
43.12 |
2.69 |
44% |
| Welterweight |
14 (9%) |
10 |
71 % |
78.00 |
12.94 |
0.92 |
17% |
| Lightweight |
29 (19%) |
13 |
45 % |
169.00 |
-47.17 |
-1.63 |
-28% |
| Featherweight |
14 (9%) |
9 |
64 % |
90.00 |
10.60 |
0.76 |
12% |
| Bantamweight |
20 (13%) |
9 |
45 % |
96.50 |
-20.67 |
-1.03 |
-21% |
| Flyweight |
11 (7%) |
8 |
73 % |
56.50 |
14.25 |
1.30 |
25% |
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| Women's Fights |
24 (16%) |
16 |
67 % |
128.50 |
15.57 |
0.65 |
12% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (3%) |
3 |
75 % |
13.50 |
1.23 |
0.31 |
9% |
| Flyweight |
11 (7%) |
7 |
64 % |
66.00 |
6.34 |
0.58 |
10% |
| Strawweight |
9 (6%) |
6 |
67 % |
49.00 |
8.01 |
0.89 |
16% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
70 (97%) |
54 |
77 % |
| Slight Favorites |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
72 |
56 |
78 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
8 (32%) |
6 |
75 % |
| 50-65% |
9 (36%) |
6 |
67 % |
| 35-50% |
5 (20%) |
1 |
20 % |
| <35% chance |
3 (12%) |
1 |
33 % |
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25 |
14 |
56 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail FreeLunchTrades 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
8 |
-1.4 |
-17% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$986.03 |
| 25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
9.5 |
0.5 |
6% |
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$9.86 |
$986.03 |
$991.33 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
29 |
-2.5 |
-9% |
$9 |
$9.91 |
$991.33 |
$957.06 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
57.5 |
11.7 |
20% |
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$9.57 |
$957.06 |
$1,068.68 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
25 |
-0.6 |
-2% |
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$10.69 |
$1,068.68 |
$1,062.31 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
27 |
0.6 |
2% |
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$10.62 |
$1,062.31 |
$1,068.49 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
38.5 |
5.6 |
15% |
$9 |
$10.68 |
$1,068.49 |
$1,119.61 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
54.5 |
9.3 |
17% |
$9 |
$11.20 |
$1,119.61 |
$1,215.21 |
| 8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
19 |
-5.7 |
-30% |
$9 |
$12.15 |
$1,215.21 |
$1,136.55 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
43 |
9.8 |
23% |
$9 |
$11.37 |
$1,136.55 |
$1,239.26 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
23 |
-7.4 |
-32% |
$9 |
$12.39 |
$1,239.26 |
$1,138.01 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
64 |
0.6 |
1% |
$9 |
$11.38 |
$1,138.01 |
$1,135.57 |
| 22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
15 |
0.0 |
0% |
$9 |
$11.36 |
$1,135.57 |
$1,126.57 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
54 |
14.6 |
27% |
$9 |
$11.27 |
$1,126.57 |
$1,281.88 |
| 12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
11 |
9.8 |
89% |
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$12.82 |
$1,281.88 |
$1,407.32 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
21 |
6.0 |
29% |
$9 |
$14.07 |
$1,407.32 |
$1,482.76 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
34.5 |
-4.1 |
-12% |
$9 |
$14.83 |
$1,482.76 |
$1,412.73 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
61 |
-7.1 |
-12% |
$9 |
$14.13 |
$1,412.73 |
$1,303.58 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
35 |
-10.5 |
-30% |
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$13.04 |
$1,303.58 |
$1,166.86 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
51 |
1.2 |
2% |
$9 |
$11.67 |
$1,166.86 |
$1,171.54 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
32 |
-1.7 |
-5% |
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$11.72 |
$1,171.54 |
$1,151.04 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
66 |
12.7 |
19% |
$9 |
$11.51 |
$1,151.04 |
$1,287.76 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
80 |
-15.8 |
-20% |
$9 |
$12.88 |
$1,287.76 |
$1,075.69 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
91 |
22.7 |
25% |
$9 |
$10.76 |
$1,075.69 |
$1,310.53 |
| 4th May |
UFC 301 |
75 |
-1.0 |
-1% |
$9 |
$13.11 |
$1,310.53 |
$1,288.36 |
| 11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
63 |
-13.5 |
-21% |
$9 |
$12.88 |
$1,288.36 |
$1,105.43 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.54% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
FreeLunchTrades : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
May '24 |
Tabatha Ricci |
Tecia Torres |
1.67 |
9 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 2. |
May '24 |
Trey Waters |
Billy Goff |
1.67 |
9 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 3. |
May '24 |
Chase Hooper |
Viacheslav Borshchev |
2.10 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:0) |
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| 4. |
May '24 |
Veronica Macedo |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.80 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. |
May '24 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.44 |
9 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
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| 6. |
May '24 |
Dione Barbosa |
Ernesta Kareckaite |
1.40 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 7. |
May '24 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Steve Erceg |
1.53 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 8. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.53 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
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| 9. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.77 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
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| 10. |
Apr '24 |
 Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.74 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
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| 11. |
Apr '24 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Charles Oliveira |
1.44 |
9 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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| 13. |
Apr '24 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Calvin Kattar |
1.61 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.69 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
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| 15. |
Apr '24 |
Jessica Andrade |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
1.71 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.63 |
8 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
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| 17. |
Mar '24 |
Maycee Barber |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.50 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. |
Mar '24 |
Kyler Phillips |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.45 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. |
Mar '24 |
Michel Pereira |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
1.69 |
9 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
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| 20. |
Feb '24 |
Gregory Rodrigues |
Brad Tavares |
3.50 |
8 |
TKO, R3 (0:55) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
FreeLunchTrades : Progress Chart |
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