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MMA Handicapper Stats: Michael Villanueva |
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Michael Villanueva: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 16 (55%)
Losing Events: 13 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 62.84 units
Most Staked On One Event: 108.00 units
Best Event: 80.51 units
Worst Event: -56.71 units
Average Event: 2.98 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 118.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -86.98 |
Michael Villanueva: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
564 |
66.3 |
12% |
71.3 / 559 (13%) |
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4 / 3 (57%) |
9.47 |
| 2023 |
1258.5 |
20.0 |
2% |
26.5 / 1118 (2%) |
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31.4 / 62.5 (50%) |
12 / 10 (55%) |
0.91 |
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Michael Villanueva: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Michael Villanueva: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
1737.5 |
89.5 |
5% |
76.1 / 1617 (5%) |
-17.9 / 58 (-31%) |
31.4 / 62.5 (50%) |
| Other |
85 |
-3.2 |
-4% |
21.8 / 60 (36%) |
-25.0 / 25 (-100%) |
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Michael Villanueva: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
97 (41%) |
71 |
73 % |
733.00 |
55.13 |
0.57 |
8% |
| Slight Favorites |
49 (21%) |
39 |
80 % |
308.00 |
105.71 |
2.16 |
34% |
| Slight Underdogs |
57 (24%) |
25 |
44 % |
417.00 |
-5.35 |
-0.09 |
-1% |
| Big Underdogs |
31 (13%) |
9 |
29 % |
219.00 |
-57.65 |
-1.86 |
-26% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
26 (11%) |
16 |
62 % |
213.00 |
23.72 |
0.91 |
11% |
| Co-Main Event |
21 (9%) |
15 |
71 % |
157.00 |
45.86 |
2.18 |
29% |
| Position 3-5 |
54 (23%) |
26 |
48 % |
406.00 |
-9.74 |
-0.18 |
-2% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
133 (57%) |
87 |
65 % |
901.00 |
37.99 |
0.29 |
4% |
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Michael Villanueva: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
17 (7%) |
12 |
71 % |
155.00 |
5.59 |
0.33 |
4% |
| Light Heavy |
13 (6%) |
8 |
62 % |
98.00 |
12.92 |
0.99 |
13% |
| Middleweight |
33 (14%) |
24 |
73 % |
236.00 |
47.97 |
1.45 |
20% |
| Welterweight |
27 (12%) |
15 |
56 % |
145.00 |
-7.17 |
-0.27 |
-5% |
| Lightweight |
42 (18%) |
19 |
45 % |
276.00 |
-60.69 |
-1.45 |
-22% |
| Featherweight |
24 (10%) |
11 |
46 % |
186.00 |
-20.97 |
-0.87 |
-11% |
| Bantamweight |
23 (10%) |
17 |
74 % |
195.00 |
50.53 |
2.20 |
26% |
| Flyweight |
20 (9%) |
15 |
75 % |
133.00 |
15.88 |
0.79 |
12% |
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| Women's Fights |
35 (15%) |
23 |
66 % |
253.00 |
53.77 |
1.54 |
21% |
| Bantamweight |
7 (3%) |
4 |
57 % |
61.00 |
-8.82 |
-1.26 |
-14% |
| Flyweight |
13 (6%) |
8 |
62 % |
70.00 |
16.16 |
1.24 |
23% |
| Strawweight |
15 (6%) |
11 |
73 % |
122.00 |
46.43 |
3.10 |
38% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
33 (70%) |
22 |
67 % |
| Slight Favorites |
7 (15%) |
7 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
5 (11%) |
3 |
60 % |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
47 |
32 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
8 (29%) |
4 |
50 % |
| 50-65% |
11 (39%) |
4 |
36 % |
| 35-50% |
4 (14%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
5 (18%) |
1 |
20 % |
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28 |
9 |
32 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Michael Villanueva's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
12 |
3.6 |
30% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,036.02 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
22 |
3.4 |
15% |
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$10.36 |
$1,036.02 |
$1,070.80 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
43.5 |
0.5 |
1% |
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$10.71 |
$1,070.80 |
$1,076.18 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
33 |
-7.7 |
-23% |
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$10.76 |
$1,076.18 |
$993.75 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
20 |
4.4 |
22% |
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$9.94 |
$993.75 |
$1,037.95 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
16 |
1.6 |
10% |
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$10.38 |
$1,037.95 |
$1,054.38 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
38 |
10.6 |
28% |
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$10.54 |
$1,054.38 |
$1,166.22 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
61 |
18.8 |
31% |
$5 |
$11.66 |
$1,166.22 |
$1,380.76 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
61 |
36.0 |
59% |
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$13.81 |
$1,380.76 |
$1,878.14 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
40 |
-26.3 |
-66% |
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$18.78 |
$1,878.14 |
$1,384.26 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
95 |
68.5 |
72% |
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$13.84 |
$1,384.26 |
$2,333.02 |
| 5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
25 |
-2.2 |
-9% |
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$23.33 |
$2,333.02 |
$2,281.69 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
95 |
7.9 |
8% |
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$22.82 |
$2,281.69 |
$2,461.51 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
85 |
-14.9 |
-17% |
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$24.62 |
$2,461.51 |
$2,095.39 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
20 |
25.3 |
126% |
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$20.95 |
$2,095.39 |
$2,624.76 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
70 |
-31.7 |
-45% |
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$26.25 |
$2,624.76 |
$1,793.36 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
70 |
-16.7 |
-24% |
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$17.93 |
$1,793.36 |
$1,493.88 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
82 |
-29.2 |
-36% |
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$14.94 |
$1,493.88 |
$1,057.96 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
80 |
-6.6 |
-8% |
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$10.58 |
$1,057.96 |
$987.76 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
100 |
-2.8 |
-3% |
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$9.88 |
$987.76 |
$960.19 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
100 |
5.4 |
5% |
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$9.60 |
$960.19 |
$1,012.14 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
90 |
-28.0 |
-31% |
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$10.12 |
$1,012.14 |
$728.29 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
70 |
14.1 |
20% |
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$7.28 |
$728.29 |
$831.21 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
56 |
17.4 |
31% |
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$8.31 |
$831.21 |
$975.65 |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
90 |
-56.7 |
-63% |
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$9.76 |
$975.65 |
$422.36 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
100 |
-3.7 |
-4% |
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$4.22 |
$422.36 |
$406.87 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
64 |
38.4 |
60% |
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$4.07 |
$406.87 |
$563.28 |
| 4th May |
UFC 301 |
108 |
80.5 |
75% |
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$5.63 |
$563.28 |
$1,016.80 |
| 11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
76 |
-23.8 |
-31% |
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$10.17 |
$1,016.80 |
$774.97 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -22.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Michael Villanueva: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
May '24 |
Tabatha Ricci |
Tecia Torres |
1.71 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 2. |
May '24 |
Sean Woodson |
Alex Caceres |
1.44 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 3. |
May '24 |
Derrick Lewis |
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira |
1.59 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
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| 4. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.80 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
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| 5. |
May '24 |
Ismael Bonfim |
Vinc Pichel |
1.18 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. |
May '24 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.45 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
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| 7. |
May '24 |
Drakkar Klose |
Joaquim Silva |
1.51 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 8. |
May '24 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.24 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 9. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.54 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
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| 10. |
May '24 |
Anthony Smith |
Vitor Petrino |
4.85 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:0) |
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| 11. |
May '24 |
Jose Aldo |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.20 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. |
May '24 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Steve Erceg |
1.53 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 13. |
Mar '24 |
Jacob Malkoun |
Andre Petroski |
1.41 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
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| 14. |
Mar '24 |
Ibo Aslan |
Anton Turkalj |
1.77 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
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| 15. |
Mar '24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
Sedriques Dumas |
1.45 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
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| 16. |
Mar '24 |
Chris Weidman |
Bruno Silva |
2.75 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.00 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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| 18. |
Mar '24 |
Manon Fiorot |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.65 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 19. |
Feb '24 |
Miranda Maverick |
Andrea Lee |
1.55 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. |
Feb '24 |
Danny Barlow |
Josh Quinlan |
1.44 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (1:18) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Michael Villanueva: Progress Chart |
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