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MMA Handicapper Stats: CamelJoe

CamelJoe (JackieDog)

MMA MHandicapper - CamelJoe

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	106 (56%)	Right	77 (56%)	Right	6 (43%)	Right	23 (62%)
Wrong	82 (44%)	Wrong	60 (44%)	Wrong	8 (57%)	Wrong	14 (38%)
Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	1.72	Avg Odds	1.87
Units Bet	203.1	Units Bet	152.7	Units Bet	11.0	Units Bet	39.5
Avg Bet	1.08	Avg Bet	1.11	Avg Bet	0.79	Avg Bet	1.07
Units Profit	2.50	Units Profit	0.93	Units Profit	-1.14	Units Profit	2.72
ROI %	1%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-10%	ROI %	7%

CamelJoe : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	8	-2.0	-25%	-1.0 / 7 (-14%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	5.5	0.6	10%	-1.2 / 3.5 (-34%)		1.8 / 2 (88%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	6.5	2.4	37%	1.0 / 5 (20%)		1.4 / 1.5 (91%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	9.5	5.9	62%	4.4 / 7.5 (59%)		1.5 / 2 (74%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.3	3.3	62%	3.3 / 5.3 (62%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.5	-2.9	-45%	0.1 / 3.5 (3%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	8.5	1.8	21%	1.8 / 8.5 (21%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.5	0.8	23%	2.3 / 2 (115%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	7.5	2.5	33%	1.1 / 5.5 (21%)		1.3 / 2 (67%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	9.5	-3.0	-32%	-4.9 / 6.5 (-76%)	0.7 / 1 (68%)	1.2 / 2 (62%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1	1.0	98%			1.0 / 1 (98%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	10	3.8	38%	3.8 / 10 (38%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	8	-2.5	-32%	-2.0 / 7.5 (-27%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	10.2	-4.9	-48%	-3.2 / 8.5 (-37%)		-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4.5	-2.3	-51%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)		1.2 / 1 (121%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	8.5	0.6	7%	-0.5 / 7 (-8%)		1.1 / 1.5 (75%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	5.5	0.6	12%	0.6 / 2.5 (22%)		0.1 / 3 (2%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	7.5	-1.3	-18%	-1.3 / 7.5 (-18%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	5	-1.9	-37%	-0.9 / 4 (-22%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	5	0.8	16%	-0.8 / 3 (-28%)	1.2 / 1.5 (80%)	0.5 / 0.5 (92%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	5	2.3	45%	2.3 / 5 (45%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	6.5	-1.6	-24%	0.9 / 4 (24%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	6.3	0.3	4%	0.2 / 3.3 (5%)	-0.5 / 1.5 (-35%)	0.6 / 1.5 (40%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	5.8	-2.1	-35%	-2.6 / 4.3 (-60%)	1.0 / 1 (104%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
26th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	1.5	-0.0	-3%	-0.0 / 1.5 (-3%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7	-0.7	-10%	1.3 / 5 (27%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.5	-2.4	-43%	-1.0 / 2.5 (-39%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.9 / 2.5 (-36%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	0.75	1.2	162%			1.2 / 0.75 (162%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	6	-1.2	-20%	0.5 / 2.5 (22%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.3 / 2 (-13%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1	0.8	80%	0.8 / 1 (80%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	4.5	2.3	52%	1.2 / 3.5 (35%)	0.3 / 0.5 (62%)	0.8 / 0.5 (155%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	1.5	-0.4	-30%	-0.4 / 1.5 (-30%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	4.75	-1.8	-39%	-0.3 / 3.25 (-11%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	1	0.9	91%	0.9 / 1 (91%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	6.5	5.7	88%	2.1 / 2.5 (85%)	0.7 / 1 (65%)	3.0 / 3 (98%)

Winning Events: 19 (51%)
Losing Events: 18 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.20 units
Best Event: 5.89 units
Worst Event: -4.85 units
Average Event: 0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 12.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -9.69

CamelJoe : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	104	4.4	4%	2.0 / 83.8 (2%)		2.2 / 18.7 (12%)	9 / 6 (60%)	0.29
2023	99.1	-1.9	-2%	-1.1 / 68.85 (-2%)		0.5 / 20.75 (3%)	10 / 12 (45%)	-0.08

CamelJoe : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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CamelJoe : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	187.35	4.9	3%	4.6 / 139.65 (3%)	-1.1 / 11 (-10%)	1.5 / 36.7 (4%)
PFL	7	0.0	0%	0.0 / 5 (1%)		-0.0 / 2 (-1%)
Other	8.75	-2.5	-28%	-3.7 / 8 (-46%)		1.2 / 0.75 (162%)

CamelJoe : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	29 (20%)	20	69 %	45.30	-0.11	-0.00	-0%
Slight Favorites	63 (44%)	40	63 %	76.25	2.39	0.04	3%
Slight Underdogs	34 (24%)	17	50 %	22.10	-0.98	-0.03	-4%
Big Underdogs	18 (13%)	5	28 %	9.00	-0.36	-0.02	-4%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	25 (17%)	10	40 %	33.50	-8.42	-0.34	-25%
Co-Main Event	25 (17%)	13	52 %	26.30	-3.50	-0.14	-13%
Position 3-5	52 (36%)	33	63 %	49.55	8.78	0.17	18%
6+ (Undercard)	42 (29%)	26	62 %	43.30	4.07	0.10	9%

CamelJoe : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	16 (11%)	13	81 %	13.50	6.33	0.40	47%
Light Heavy	10 (7%)	6	60 %	11.00	2.41	0.24	22%
Middleweight	19 (13%)	10	53 %	21.10	-2.60	-0.14	-12%
Welterweight	16 (11%)	6	38 %	16.00	-3.11	-0.19	-19%
Lightweight	25 (17%)	12	48 %	22.00	-0.56	-0.02	-3%
Featherweight	26 (18%)	17	65 %	32.30	0.20	0.01	1%
Bantamweight	17 (12%)	11	65 %	18.50	0.40	0.02	2%
Flyweight	3 (2%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-1.17	-100%

Women's Fights	12 (8%)	7	58 %	14.75	1.36	0.11	9%
Bantamweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	3.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0%
Flyweight	6 (4%)	2	33 %	6.75	-1.85	-0.31	-27%
Strawweight	4 (3%)	4	100 %	5.00	3.21	0.80	64%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	76 (90%)	62	82 %
Slight Favorites	8 (10%)	3	38 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	84	65	77 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (19%)	0	0 %
50-65%	11 (69%)	5	45 %
35-50%	2 (13%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	16	6	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (19%)	2	67 %	1.64	1.80	1.47	0.5 (16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (50%)	3	38 %	1.76	2.04	1.60	-2.7 (-34%)
Others	5 (31%)	1	20 %	1.68	2.10	1.36	-3.0 (-61%)
	16	6	38 %	1.71			-5.3 (-33%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail CamelJoe 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Aug	UFC 292	6.5	5.7	88%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,057.17
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.57	$1,057.17	$1,041.31
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	1	0.9	91%		$10.41	$1,041.31	$1,050.79
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	4.75	-1.8	-39%		$10.51	$1,050.79	$1,031.40
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	1.5	-0.4	-30%		$10.31	$1,031.40	$1,026.76
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	4.5	2.3	52%		$10.27	$1,026.76	$1,050.65
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1	0.8	80%		$10.51	$1,050.65	$1,059.10
9th Sep	UFC 293	6	-1.2	-20%		$10.59	$1,059.10	$1,046.17
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	0.75	1.2	162%		$10.46	$1,046.17	$1,058.88
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.5	-2.4	-43%		$10.59	$1,058.88	$1,033.74
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7	-0.7	-10%		$10.34	$1,033.74	$1,026.82
26th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	1.5	-0.0	-3%		$10.27	$1,026.82	$1,026.41
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.26	$1,026.41	$1,000.75
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	5.8	-2.1	-35%		$10.01	$1,000.75	$980.23
21st Oct	UFC 294	6.3	0.3	4%		$9.80	$980.23	$982.72
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	6.5	-1.6	-24%		$9.83	$982.72	$967.49
11th Nov	UFC 295	5	2.3	45%		$9.67	$967.49	$989.45
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	5	0.8	16%		$9.89	$989.45	$997.58
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	5	-1.9	-37%		$9.98	$997.58	$978.98
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	7.5	-1.3	-18%		$9.79	$978.98	$966.00
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	5.5	0.6	12%		$9.66	$966.00	$972.12
16th Dec	UFC 296	8.5	0.6	7%		$9.72	$972.12	$977.78
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4.5	-2.3	-51%		$9.78	$977.78	$955.35
20th Jan	UFC 297	10.2	-4.9	-48%		$9.55	$955.35	$908.97
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	8	-2.5	-32%		$9.09	$908.97	$885.88
17th Feb	UFC 298	10	3.8	38%		$8.86	$885.88	$919.76
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1	1.0	98%		$9.20	$919.76	$928.77
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	9.5	-3.0	-32%		$9.29	$928.77	$900.85
9th Mar	UFC 299	7.5	2.5	33%		$9.01	$900.85	$923.19
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.5	0.8	23%		$9.23	$923.19	$930.58
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	8.5	1.8	21%		$9.31	$930.58	$947.10
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.5	-2.9	-45%		$9.47	$947.10	$919.54
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.3	3.3	62%		$9.20	$919.54	$949.69
13th Apr	UFC 300	9.5	5.9	62%		$9.50	$949.69	$1,005.61
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	6.5	2.4	37%		$10.06	$1,005.61	$1,029.48
4th May	UFC 301	5.5	0.6	10%		$10.29	$1,029.48	$1,035.34
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	8	-2.0	-25%		$10.35	$1,035.34	$1,014.58

ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

CamelJoe : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Joaquin Buckley	Nursulton Ruziboev	1.73	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Sean Woodson	Alex Caceres	1.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	May '24	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Robelis Despaigne	2.60	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '24	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Robelis Despaigne	2.85	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '24	Anthony Smith	Vitor Petrino	4.62	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:0)
6.	Apr '24	Don'tale Mayes	Caio Machado (2)	2.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	Don'tale Mayes	Caio Machado (2)	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '24	David Onama	Jonathan Pearce	2.35	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '24	Karine Silva	Ariane Lipski	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '24	Diego Lopes	Sodiq Yusuff	1.74	2.5	TKO, R1 (1:29)
11.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.68	1	TKO, R1 (3:14)
12.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.72	0.5	TKO, R5 (4:59)
13.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	1.97	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:17)
14.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '24	Norma Dumont	Germaine de Randamie	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Apr '24	Brendan Allen	Chris Curtis	1.50	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Apr '24	Lukasz Brzeski	Valter Walker	3.61	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Apr '24	Damon Jackson	Alexander Hernandez	2.58	0.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	1.90	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
20.	Mar '24	Chidi Njokuani	Rhys McKee	1.69	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	Derrick Lewis	2.24	1	TKO, R3 (0:49)	No
2.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.50	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
3.	May '24	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chase Hooper	1.76	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No
4.	May '24	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chase Hooper	1.62	1	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No
5.	May '24	Jack Shore	Joanderson Brito	2.39	1	TKO, R2 (3:35)	No
6.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.60	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '24	Elves Brenner	Myktybek Orolbai	3.03	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '24	Ryan Spann	Bogdan Guskov	1.57	1	TKO, R2 (3:16)	No
9.	Apr '24	Matheus Nicolau	Alex Perez	1.54	1	TKO, R2 (2:16)	No
10.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.94	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Cody Garbrandt	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.38	0.5	Sub, R2 (4:2)	No
12.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.80	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Erin Blanchfield	Manon Fiorot	1.50	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.58	2	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
15.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Feb '24	Brandon Moreno	Brandon Royval	1.37	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '24	Francisco Prado	Daniel Zellhuber	3.11	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.58	3	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No
19.	Feb '24	Geoff Neal	Ian Garry	2.90	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '24	Roman Kopylov	Anthony Hernandez	2.59	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:23)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

CamelJoe : Progress Chart

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