MMA Handicapper Stats: Paul lucidmmapicks |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 14 (56%) Losing Events: 11 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.44 units Most Staked On One Event: 29.50 units Best Event: 8.17 units Worst Event: -6.45 units Average Event: 0.49 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 20.56 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.16 |
Paul lucidmmapicks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
244.6 |
16.6 |
7% |
8.6 / 107.3 (8%) |
|
-7.9 / 17.4 (-45%) |
9 / 5 (64%) |
1.19 |
2023 |
166.5 |
-4.5 |
-3% |
9.5 / 79.65 (12%) |
|
-7.2 / 22.4 (-32%) |
5 / 6 (45%) |
-0.40 |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
411.1 |
12.2 |
3% |
18.1 / 186.95 (10%) |
9.2 / 184.35 (5%) |
-15.1 / 39.8 (-38%) |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
20 (29%) |
17 |
85 % |
76.25 |
14.78 |
0.74 |
19% |
Slight Favorites |
33 (49%) |
21 |
64 % |
91.20 |
10.70 |
0.32 |
12% |
Slight Underdogs |
12 (18%) |
4 |
33 % |
17.25 |
-6.66 |
-0.56 |
-39% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.25 |
-0.75 |
-0.25 |
-33% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (18%) |
9 |
75 % |
41.95 |
13.11 |
1.09 |
31% |
Co-Main Event |
7 (10%) |
4 |
57 % |
25.50 |
-0.17 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Position 3-5 |
22 (32%) |
12 |
55 % |
50.75 |
-3.75 |
-0.17 |
-7% |
6+ (Undercard) |
27 (40%) |
18 |
67 % |
68.75 |
8.88 |
0.33 |
13% |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (7%) |
4 |
80 % |
18.30 |
4.08 |
0.82 |
22% |
Light Heavy |
6 (9%) |
4 |
67 % |
14.55 |
7.99 |
1.33 |
55% |
Middleweight |
9 (13%) |
5 |
56 % |
27.20 |
0.67 |
0.07 |
2% |
Welterweight |
8 (12%) |
6 |
75 % |
23.40 |
8.07 |
1.01 |
34% |
Lightweight |
9 (13%) |
5 |
56 % |
26.20 |
0.52 |
0.06 |
2% |
Featherweight |
10 (15%) |
6 |
60 % |
23.80 |
1.23 |
0.12 |
5% |
Bantamweight |
8 (12%) |
4 |
50 % |
22.30 |
-4.22 |
-0.53 |
-19% |
Flyweight |
3 (4%) |
3 |
100 % |
4.75 |
3.54 |
1.18 |
75% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
10 (15%) |
6 |
60 % |
26.45 |
-3.82 |
-0.38 |
-14% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-4.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
3.50 |
-3.50 |
-1.75 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
7 (10%) |
6 |
86 % |
18.95 |
3.68 |
0.53 |
19% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
27 (71%) |
19 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (29%) |
7 |
64 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
38 |
26 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
28 (29%) |
19 |
68 % |
50-65% |
22 (23%) |
11 |
50 % |
35-50% |
11 (11%) |
4 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
36 (37%) |
5 |
14 % |
|
97 |
39 |
40 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Paul lucidmmapicks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
6.5 |
3.2 |
49% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,032.12 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
8.5 |
0.6 |
7% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,032.12 |
$1,038.21 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
9.75 |
-1.2 |
-12% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.21 |
$1,025.66 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
10.1 |
-3.5 |
-35% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,025.66 |
$989.76 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
11.45 |
-6.5 |
-56% |
|
$9.90 |
$989.76 |
$925.92 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
29.2 |
2.0 |
7% |
|
$9.26 |
$925.92 |
$944.74 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
16.75 |
-1.1 |
-7% |
|
$9.45 |
$944.74 |
$934.27 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
22.8 |
-1.3 |
-6% |
|
$9.34 |
$934.27 |
$922.22 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
8.35 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$9.22 |
$922.22 |
$923.22 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
23 |
-4.5 |
-20% |
|
$9.23 |
$923.22 |
$881.26 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
20.1 |
7.7 |
38% |
|
$8.81 |
$881.26 |
$949.17 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
12.5 |
-1.9 |
-15% |
|
$9.49 |
$949.17 |
$930.87 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
14.35 |
-5.9 |
-41% |
|
$9.31 |
$930.87 |
$876.30 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
17.85 |
1.6 |
9% |
|
$8.76 |
$876.30 |
$890.26 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
16.85 |
-1.2 |
-7% |
|
$8.90 |
$890.26 |
$879.43 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
26.35 |
8.1 |
31% |
|
$8.79 |
$879.43 |
$950.84 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
14 |
0.7 |
5% |
|
$9.51 |
$950.84 |
$957.76 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
15.75 |
1.2 |
8% |
|
$9.58 |
$957.76 |
$969.46 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
9.25 |
-5.1 |
-55% |
|
$9.69 |
$969.46 |
$920.50 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
12 |
-1.5 |
-13% |
|
$9.20 |
$920.50 |
$906.38 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
14 |
7.5 |
53% |
|
$9.06 |
$906.38 |
$974.25 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
29.5 |
2.5 |
9% |
|
$9.74 |
$974.25 |
$998.76 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
24 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$9.99 |
$998.76 |
$998.77 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
19.75 |
8.2 |
41% |
|
$9.99 |
$998.77 |
$1,080.37 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
18.45 |
2.4 |
13% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,080.37 |
$1,106.10 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Paul lucidmmapicks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Derrick Lewis |
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira |
1.61 |
3.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Trey Waters |
Billy Goff |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
3. |
May '24 |
Tabatha Ricci |
Tecia Torres |
1.70 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
4. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.54 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
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5. |
May '24 |
Myktybek Orolbai |
Elves Brenner |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Hayisaer Maheshate |
Gabriel Benitez |
1.44 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Ketlen Souza |
Marnic Mann |
1.27 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
1.95 |
2.1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.74 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Parkin |
Mohammed Usman |
1.70 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
AJ Dobson |
1.52 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.91 |
2.2 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Amanda Lemos |
Mackenzie Dern |
1.77 |
2.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Rodolfo Vieira |
Armen Petrosyan |
1.83 |
2.4 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Ian Garry |
Geoff Neal |
1.44 |
4.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Henry Cejudo |
1.54 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Randy Brown |
Muslim Salikhov |
1.36 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:17) |
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20. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
2.20 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
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|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Viacheslav Borshchev |
Chase Hooper |
1.74 |
2.7 |
Sub, R2 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Justin Gaethje |
Max Holloway |
1.67 |
3 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Calvin Kattar |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.40 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Yadong Song |
Petr Yan |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Brian Ortega |
1.67 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.93 |
3.3 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Feb '24 |
Darrius Flowers |
Michael Johnson |
2.15 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Feb '24 |
Zac Pauga |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '24 |
Joe Pyfer |
Jack Hermansson |
1.44 |
4.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
10. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Kopylov |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.45 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '24 |
Drew Dober |
Renato Moicano |
2.50 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jan '24 |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Raquel Pennington |
1.61 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jan '24 |
Brad Katona |
Garrett Armfield |
1.48 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jan '24 |
Serhiy Sidey |
Ramon Taveras |
1.57 |
3.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jan '24 |
Johnny Walker |
Magomed Ankalaev |
5.00 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (2:42) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.00 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '23 |
Rob Font |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
1.71 |
2.8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Nov '23 |
Uros Medic |
Myktybek Orolbai |
1.95 |
2.1 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Nov '23 |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
Caio Borralho |
3.40 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Nov '23 |
Mackenzie Dern |
Jessica Andrade |
1.51 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (3:15) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Paul lucidmmapicks: Progress Chart |
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