|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Jasper Mabey |
|
Jasper Mabey: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 25 (57%) Losing Events: 19 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.29 units Most Staked On One Event: 19.63 units Best Event: 7.36 units Worst Event: -9.50 units Average Event: -0.02 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 13.35 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -19.45 |
Jasper Mabey: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
111.05 |
2.0 |
2% |
3.5 / 61.7 (6%) |
|
|
10 / 7 (59%) |
0.12 |
2023 |
209.74 |
-3.1 |
-1% |
3.7 / 130.49 (3%) |
|
1.9 / 11.95 (16%) |
15 / 12 (56%) |
-0.12 |
|
Jasper Mabey: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Jasper Mabey: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
273.61 |
3.4 |
1% |
10.9 / 165.04 (7%) |
-7.6 / 98.82 (-8%) |
0.1 / 9.75 (1%) |
Bellator |
5.4 |
0.9 |
17% |
-0.0 / 2.2 (-2%) |
1.0 / 3.2 (30%) |
|
PFL |
8.5 |
-1.3 |
-15% |
1.2 / 6 (20%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
|
Other |
33.28 |
-4.1 |
-12% |
-4.9 / 18.95 (-26%) |
-1.0 / 12.13 (-8%) |
1.8 / 2.2 (82%) |
|
Jasper Mabey: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
11 (8%) |
11 |
100 % |
26.71 |
11.83 |
1.08 |
44% |
Slight Favorites |
58 (41%) |
38 |
66 % |
91.85 |
3.40 |
0.06 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
51 (36%) |
18 |
35 % |
56.71 |
-5.95 |
-0.12 |
-11% |
Big Underdogs |
21 (15%) |
5 |
24 % |
16.92 |
-2.16 |
-0.10 |
-13% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
22 (16%) |
12 |
55 % |
33.93 |
3.46 |
0.16 |
10% |
Co-Main Event |
15 (11%) |
12 |
80 % |
22.30 |
10.57 |
0.70 |
47% |
Position 3-5 |
42 (30%) |
18 |
43 % |
61.65 |
-8.40 |
-0.20 |
-14% |
6+ (Undercard) |
62 (44%) |
30 |
48 % |
74.31 |
1.49 |
0.02 |
2% |
|
Jasper Mabey: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (6%) |
5 |
63 % |
12.00 |
3.87 |
0.48 |
32% |
Light Heavy |
8 (6%) |
5 |
63 % |
9.20 |
3.27 |
0.41 |
36% |
Middleweight |
20 (14%) |
10 |
50 % |
25.30 |
-0.11 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
Welterweight |
16 (11%) |
6 |
38 % |
17.70 |
-3.92 |
-0.25 |
-22% |
Lightweight |
20 (14%) |
14 |
70 % |
29.33 |
9.87 |
0.49 |
34% |
Featherweight |
18 (13%) |
8 |
44 % |
26.65 |
-3.33 |
-0.18 |
-12% |
Bantamweight |
17 (12%) |
7 |
41 % |
23.00 |
-4.36 |
-0.26 |
-19% |
Flyweight |
13 (9%) |
8 |
62 % |
22.10 |
5.29 |
0.41 |
24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
21 (15%) |
9 |
43 % |
26.91 |
-3.46 |
-0.16 |
-13% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
6 (4%) |
2 |
33 % |
6.71 |
-1.20 |
-0.20 |
-18% |
Flyweight |
8 (6%) |
4 |
50 % |
12.80 |
-1.63 |
-0.20 |
-13% |
Strawweight |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
6.90 |
-0.14 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
11 (100%) |
10 |
91 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
11 |
10 |
91 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
50-65% |
28 (13%) |
14 |
50 % |
35-50% |
33 (15%) |
11 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
152 (70%) |
25 |
16 % |
|
217 |
53 |
24 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Jasper Mabey's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
11.15 |
3.3 |
30% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,033.05 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
7.48 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,033.05 |
$955.78 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
12.95 |
0.6 |
5% |
|
$9.56 |
$955.78 |
$961.82 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
2.5 |
-0.1 |
-5% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.82 |
$960.69 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
11.5 |
5.8 |
50% |
|
$9.61 |
$960.69 |
$1,016.46 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
2.8 |
0.6 |
23% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.46 |
$1,022.96 |
16th Sep |
Oktagon 46 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,022.96 |
$1,012.73 |
16th Sep |
KSW 86 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.13 |
$1,012.73 |
$1,002.61 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
10.45 |
1.1 |
11% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.61 |
$1,013.64 |
19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
6.1 |
0.2 |
3% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.64 |
$1,015.61 |
22nd Sep |
LFA 168 |
1 |
1.5 |
150% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.61 |
$1,030.85 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 299 |
5.4 |
0.9 |
17% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,030.85 |
$1,040.48 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
10.1 |
0.9 |
9% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.48 |
$1,050.21 |
26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
5.2 |
0.3 |
5% |
|
$10.50 |
$1,050.21 |
$1,053.15 |
29th Sep |
Cage Warriors 160 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
91% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,053.15 |
$1,063.68 |
30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,063.68 |
$1,053.04 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
8.9 |
-4.3 |
-48% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,053.04 |
$1,007.86 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
71% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,007.86 |
$1,037.05 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
11.2 |
-1.5 |
-13% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.05 |
$1,021.93 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
19.63 |
6.1 |
31% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,021.93 |
$1,084.63 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
8.5 |
-4.3 |
-51% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.63 |
$1,037.95 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
18.2 |
5.0 |
27% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.95 |
$1,089.79 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
10 |
-7.8 |
-78% |
|
$10.90 |
$1,089.79 |
$1,005.26 |
24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
6 |
-1.4 |
-23% |
|
$10.05 |
$1,005.26 |
$991.69 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
10.05 |
-6.8 |
-68% |
|
$9.92 |
$991.69 |
$924.03 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
7.92 |
-3.5 |
-44% |
|
$9.24 |
$924.03 |
$891.46 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
14.51 |
6.6 |
46% |
|
$8.91 |
$891.46 |
$950.50 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
5.4 |
-1.2 |
-23% |
|
$9.51 |
$950.50 |
$938.62 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
11.8 |
0.4 |
4% |
|
$9.39 |
$938.62 |
$942.68 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
4.4 |
3.2 |
74% |
|
$9.43 |
$942.68 |
$973.31 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
4.65 |
2.3 |
50% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.31 |
$995.82 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
96% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.82 |
$1,069.07 |
2nd Mar |
Oktagon 54 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.07 |
$1,058.38 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
2.7 |
2.1 |
78% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.38 |
$1,080.60 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
10.5 |
-2.8 |
-26% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,080.60 |
$1,050.71 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
7.55 |
2.4 |
32% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,050.71 |
$1,075.75 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
6.5 |
1.7 |
26% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,075.75 |
$1,094.03 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
9.4 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,094.03 |
$1,095.13 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
9.5 |
-9.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.95 |
$1,095.13 |
$991.09 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
9.1 |
-2.2 |
-24% |
|
$9.91 |
$991.09 |
$969.49 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
1.5 |
1.0 |
69% |
|
$9.69 |
$969.49 |
$979.51 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
8 |
-2.5 |
-32% |
|
$9.80 |
$979.51 |
$954.82 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
8.1 |
2.0 |
25% |
|
$9.55 |
$954.82 |
$974.01 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
3.25 |
-1.4 |
-44% |
|
$9.74 |
$974.01 |
$960.21 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Jasper Mabey: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Jessica Andrade |
2.10 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.80 |
1.2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Morgan Charriere |
Jose Mariscal |
1.83 |
1.2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Norma Dumont |
2.37 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.40 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
2.75 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Anton Turkalj |
Ibo Aslan |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Payton Talbott |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
AJ Dobson |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
2.62 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Jim Miller |
Bobby Green |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Amanda Ribas |
Rose Namajunas |
3.20 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Manon Fiorot |
1.72 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Michel Pereira |
2.20 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Gilbert Burns |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Makwan Amirkhani |
Mochamed Machaev |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:6) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Alex Perez |
Muhammad Mokaev |
3.75 |
0.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jan '24 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Chris Curtis |
2.65 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Jasper Mabey: Progress Chart |
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