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MMA Handicapper Stats: Davey Jones

Davey Jones (DaveyDollaSign)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	143 (50%)	Right	87 (47%)	Right	36 (61%)	Right	20 (45%)
Wrong	145 (50%)	Wrong	98 (53%)	Wrong	23 (39%)	Wrong	24 (55%)
Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	1.91	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	2.21
Units Bet	339.4	Units Bet	250.7	Units Bet	49.5	Units Bet	39.2
Avg Bet	1.18	Avg Bet	1.36	Avg Bet	0.84	Avg Bet	0.89
Units Profit	-11.02	Units Profit	-23.97	Units Profit	8.99	Units Profit	3.95
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-10%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	10%

Davey Jones: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	11.08	4.8	43%	4.8 / 11.08 (43%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	19.9	-0.6	-3%	-3.6 / 12.3 (-29%)	2.9 / 4.6 (64%)	0.0 / 3 (0%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	16.85	-6.3	-37%	-6.2 / 14.7 (-42%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	0.1 / 1.9 (6%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	19.1	0.2	1%	0.2 / 19.1 (1%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	8.61	2.4	27%	1.4 / 7.55 (18%)		1.0 / 1.06 (94%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	27.22	-11.4	-42%	-12.9 / 18.37 (-70%)	0.4 / 5.2 (9%)	1.0 / 3.65 (28%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	12.65	-4.4	-34%	-3.0 / 9.95 (-30%)	0.6 / 0.7 (87%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11.8	1.6	14%	-0.4 / 9 (-4%)	2.0 / 2.8 (71%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	12.09	-2.3	-19%	-2.9 / 8.52 (-34%)	1.6 / 2.57 (63%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	16.79	1.3	8%	1.3 / 12.49 (10%)		0.0 / 4.3 (0%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	7.39	0.8	11%	2.5 / 2.74 (90%)	-0.7 / 3.65 (-18%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	14.55	-7.9	-54%	-8.7 / 10.2 (-85%)	0.2 / 2.75 (7%)	0.6 / 1.6 (38%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	3.94	1.7	44%	-0.0 / 2.29 (-0%)		1.7 / 1.65 (104%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	21.39	8.6	40%	4.7 / 11.04 (42%)	-0.9 / 5.75 (-16%)	4.8 / 4.6 (105%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	14.95	2.0	14%	3.6 / 11.25 (32%)	-2.0 / 2.7 (-72%)	0.4 / 1 (39%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	11.9	-5.3	-45%	-4.9 / 11.5 (-43%)		-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	11.02	0.5	4%	-0.3 / 8.87 (-3%)	1.4 / 1.55 (88%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	7.84	1.0	13%	0.2 / 6.34 (3%)	0.8 / 1.5 (54%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	7.25	2.3	31%	1.6 / 4.1 (40%)	-0.1 / 2.4 (-4%)	0.7 / 0.75 (96%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	4.85	-3.7	-77%	-3.7 / 4.85 (-77%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	4.475	-1.1	-24%	-0.7 / 4.125 (-17%)		-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
17th Nov '23	Bellator 301	2.4	-0.5	-22%	-0.7 / 1.75 (-39%)		0.1 / 0.65 (23%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	11	1.3	12%	1.3 / 10.2 (13%)	0.0 / 0.8 (0%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	15.85	6.2	39%	3.5 / 8.5 (41%)	1.8 / 4.2 (42%)	1.0 / 3.15 (32%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	3.5	0.7	19%	-0.1 / 2.6 (-3%)	0.4 / 0.6 (67%)	0.3 / 0.3 (114%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5.45	-1.3	-24%	-1.8 / 4.45 (-41%)		0.5 / 1 (53%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	3.35	4.1	121%	1.7 / 1.35 (130%)	2.3 / 2 (115%)
26th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	2.81	-2.3	-80%	-2.3 / 2.26 (-100%)	0.3 / 0.3 (83%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7.4	-0.3	-3%	0.7 / 6.4 (12%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	1.75	-0.6	-34%	-0.3 / 1 (-26%)	0.2 / 0.25 (69%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	7.8	0.1	1%	1.6 / 5.8 (27%)	-0.5 / 1 (-50%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	5	-4.3	-86%	-1.8 / 2.5 (-72%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1.75	-1.2	-66%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.75 (-22%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	7	2.9	41%	1.6 / 3 (54%)	0.2 / 3 (5%)	1.1 / 1 (112%)

Winning Events: 18 (53%)
Losing Events: 16 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 27.22 units
Best Event: 8.59 units
Worst Event: -11.39 units
Average Event: -0.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 12.35
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.75

Davey Jones: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	249.07	-13.3	-5%	-24.2 / 187.29 (-13%)		4.7 / 27.76 (17%)	11 / 7 (61%)	-0.74
2023	91.635	2.3	2%	0.2 / 63.385 (0%)		-0.7 / 11.45 (-7%)	7 / 9 (44%)	0.14

Davey Jones: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Davey Jones: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	316.095	-14.6	-5%	-23.4 / 233.975 (-10%)	6.4 / 47.52 (14%)	2.3 / 34.6 (7%)
Bellator	2.4	-0.5	-22%	-0.7 / 1.75 (-39%)		0.1 / 0.65 (23%)
PFL	12.55	4.1	32%	1.4 / 9.84 (14%)		2.7 / 2.71 (100%)
Other	9.66	0.0	0%	-1.3 / 5.11 (-25%)	2.6 / 3.3 (78%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)

Davey Jones: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	31 (17%)	20	65 %	70.21	-6.50	-0.21	-9%
Slight Favorites	82 (44%)	44	54 %	124.67	-4.82	-0.06	-4%
Slight Underdogs	50 (27%)	19	38 %	46.90	-6.87	-0.14	-15%
Big Underdogs	22 (12%)	4	18 %	8.90	-5.77	-0.26	-65%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	23 (12%)	12	52 %	34.60	-5.38	-0.23	-16%
Co-Main Event	22 (12%)	8	36 %	35.85	-15.87	-0.72	-44%
Position 3-5	49 (26%)	23	47 %	68.54	3.44	0.07	5%
6+ (Undercard)	91 (49%)	44	48 %	111.69	-6.15	-0.07	-6%

Davey Jones: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	17 (9%)	8	47 %	17.20	1.86	0.11	11%
Light Heavy	15 (8%)	7	47 %	13.90	-0.96	-0.06	-7%
Middleweight	18 (10%)	9	50 %	24.70	-0.95	-0.05	-4%
Welterweight	18 (10%)	9	50 %	19.16	3.87	0.22	20%
Lightweight	32 (17%)	18	56 %	51.00	6.01	0.19	12%
Featherweight	20 (11%)	9	45 %	31.65	-11.03	-0.55	-35%
Bantamweight	23 (12%)	9	39 %	29.10	-7.82	-0.34	-27%
Flyweight	13 (7%)	5	38 %	20.70	-8.26	-0.64	-40%

Women's Fights	29 (16%)	13	45 %	43.27	-6.69	-0.23	-15%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	1.46	-1.46	-1.46	-100%
Bantamweight	3 (2%)	1	33 %	5.82	-3.91	-1.30	-67%
Flyweight	13 (7%)	6	46 %	20.75	-3.85	-0.30	-19%
Strawweight	12 (6%)	6	50 %	15.24	2.53	0.21	17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	115 (94%)	87	76 %
Slight Favorites	7 (6%)	6	86 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	122	93	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	16 (22%)	12	75 %
50-65%	33 (46%)	25	76 %
35-50%	17 (24%)	9	53 %
<35% chance	6 (8%)	0	0 %
	72	46	64 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	30 (42%)	22	73 %	1.59	2.75	1.14	7.6 (25%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (11%)	7	88 %	1.62	1.83	1.31	3.3 (42%)
X Wins by KO	10 (14%)	2	20 %	2.28	3.60	1.74	-4.4 (-44%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (1%)	0	0 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (11%)	3	38 %	2.38	5.00	1.67	-1.4 (-17%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.92	2.35	1.63	2.0 (99%)
Others	13 (18%)	10	77 %	1.75	9.00	1.50	3.5 (27%)
	72	46	64 %	1.78			9.6 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Davey Jones's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	7	2.9	41%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,028.80
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1.75	-1.2	-66%		$10.29	$1,028.80	$1,016.84
9th Sep	UFC 293	5	-4.3	-86%		$10.17	$1,016.84	$973.24
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	7.8	0.1	1%		$9.73	$973.24	$974.13
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	1.75	-0.6	-34%		$9.74	$974.13	$968.39
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7.4	-0.3	-3%		$9.68	$968.39	$965.91
26th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	2.81	-2.3	-80%		$9.66	$965.91	$944.08
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	3.35	4.1	121%		$9.44	$944.08	$982.35
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5.45	-1.3	-24%		$9.82	$982.35	$969.42
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	3.5	0.7	19%		$9.69	$969.42	$975.86
21st Oct	UFC 294	15.85	6.2	39%		$9.76	$975.86	$1,036.82
11th Nov	UFC 295	11	1.3	12%		$10.37	$1,036.82	$1,050.34
17th Nov	Bellator 301	2.4	-0.5	-22%		$10.50	$1,050.34	$1,044.72
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	4.475	-1.1	-24%		$10.45	$1,044.72	$1,033.59
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	4.85	-3.7	-77%		$10.34	$1,033.59	$994.83
16th Dec	UFC 296	7.25	2.3	31%		$9.95	$994.83	$1,017.26
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	7.84	1.0	13%		$10.17	$1,017.26	$1,027.73
20th Jan	UFC 297	11.02	0.5	4%		$10.28	$1,027.73	$1,032.49
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	11.9	-5.3	-45%		$10.32	$1,032.49	$977.35
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	14.95	2.0	14%		$9.77	$977.35	$997.34
17th Feb	UFC 298	21.39	8.6	40%		$9.97	$997.34	$1,083.01
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	3.94	1.7	44%		$10.83	$1,083.01	$1,101.63
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	14.55	-7.9	-54%		$11.02	$1,101.63	$1,014.72
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	7.39	0.8	11%		$10.15	$1,014.72	$1,022.86
9th Mar	UFC 299	16.79	1.3	8%		$10.23	$1,022.86	$1,036.37
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	12.09	-2.3	-19%		$10.36	$1,036.37	$1,012.63
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11.8	1.6	14%		$10.13	$1,012.63	$1,028.84
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	12.65	-4.4	-34%		$10.29	$1,028.84	$983.96
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	27.22	-11.4	-42%		$9.84	$983.96	$871.86
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	8.61	2.4	27%		$8.72	$871.86	$892.36
13th Apr	UFC 300	19.1	0.2	1%		$8.92	$892.36	$894.25
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	16.85	-6.3	-37%		$8.94	$894.25	$837.96
4th May	UFC 301	19.9	-0.6	-3%		$8.38	$837.96	$832.81
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	11.08	4.8	43%		$8.33	$832.81	$872.40

ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Davey Jones: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Veronica Macedo	J.J. Aldrich	1.77	1.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Trey Waters	Billy Goff	1.61	1.65	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	May '24	Tabatha Ricci	Tecia Torres	1.69	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '24	Joaquin Buckley	Nursulton Ruziboev	1.75	1.33	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '24	Derrick Lewis	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	1.63	1.6	TKO, R3 (0:49)
6.	May '24	Alessandro Costa	Kevin Borjas	1.77	1.3	TKO, R2 (1:35)
7.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.61	4	TKO, R2 (3:35)
8.	Apr '24	Hayisaer Maheshate	Gabriel Benitez	1.44	2.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '24	Karine Silva	Ariane Lipski	1.61	3.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '24	Bobby Green	Jim Miller	1.53	1.9	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	1.95	2.1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
12.	Apr '24	Arman Tsarukyan	Charles Oliveira	1.44	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.43	1.5	TKO, R5 (4:59)
14.	Apr '24	Michael Dufort	Mads Burnell	2.80	1	Sub, R2 (1:3)
15.	Apr '24	Clay Collard	Patricky Freire	1.53	4	TKO, R2 (1:32)
16.	Apr '24	Lukasz Brzeski	Valter Walker	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '24	Charlie Campbell	Trevor Peek	1.59	1.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '24	Virna Jandiroba	Lupita Godinez	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	1.99	2.1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
20.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.67	3	TKO, R2 (0:21)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.35	1.2	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
2.	May '24	Alonzo Menifield	Carlos Ulberg	3.10	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:12)	No
3.	May '24	Joaquim Silva	Drakkar Klose	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.70	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	2.55	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Caio Machado (2)	Don'tale Mayes	1.78	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '24	Michal Figlak	Austin Hubbard	1.57	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '24	Jonathan Pearce	David Onama	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Ryan Spann	Bogdan Guskov	1.53	1.9	TKO, R2 (3:16)	No
10.	Apr '24	Matheus Nicolau	Alex Perez	1.53	1.5	TKO, R2 (2:16)	No
11.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.43	2.3	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
12.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.18	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.15	2	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
14.	Apr '24	Yan Xiaonan	Weili Zhang	4.85	0.3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
16.	Apr '24	Jordan Heiderman	Marcelo Nunes	3.10	1	Sub, R1 (3:40)	No
17.	Apr '24	Bruno Miranda	Brent Primus	1.95	1.05	Sub, R2 (1:49)	No
18.	Apr '24	Alex Polizzi	Impa Kasanganay	3.65	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:29)	No
19.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.30	1	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
20.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.77	1.95	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Davey Jones: Progress Chart

Chart

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