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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Degenerate Mark

The Degenerate Mark (DegenerateMark)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The Degenerate Mark

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 59 (27%) Right 31 (44%) Right 17 (30%) Right 11 (13%)
Wrong 156 (73%) Wrong 40 (56%) Wrong 39 (70%) Wrong 77 (88%)
Avg Odds 2.97 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.85 Avg Odds 5.30
Units Bet 239.6 Units Bet 110.5 Units Bet 43.2 Units Bet 85.9
Avg Bet 1.11 Avg Bet 1.56 Avg Bet 0.77 Avg Bet 0.98
Units Profit -59.65 Units Profit -15.91 Units Profit -7.75 Units Profit -35.99
ROI % -25% ROI % -14% ROI % -18% ROI % -42%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Degenerate Mark: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 10.25 0.4 4% -0.7 / 8 (-8%) 1.0 / 2.25 (45%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 15 -1.0 -7% 6.0 / 8 (75%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 16.85 -8.4 -50% 1.2 / 5 (24%) -3.0 / 5.25 (-57%) -6.6 / 6.6 (-100%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 10 -5.8 -58% -3.0 / 5.5 (-54%) 1.1 / 0.5 (225%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 15.5 -3.5 -23% -4.8 / 7.5 (-65%) 0.6 / 2.75 (23%) 0.7 / 5.25 (13%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 6.75 2.9 42% -0.3 / 3 (-10%) 2.0 / 1 (200%) 1.2 / 2.75 (42%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.75 -9.0 -48% 0.2 / 9.5 (2%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -7.8 / 7.75 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 15.25 -3.6 -24% -3.6 / 10.5 (-34%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 1.2 / 3.5 (35%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 14.85 3.4 23% 0.9 / 6.5 (14%) 1.8 / 3 (58%) 0.8 / 5.35 (14%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 15.5 -3.7 -24% -4.2 / 9 (-47%) -0.0 / 3 (-0%) 0.5 / 3.5 (15%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 14 2.3 17% -1.2 / 2.5 (-48%) 3.0 / 5.75 (53%) 0.5 / 5.75 (9%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.05 -9.4 -62% -1.4 / 4.5 (-31%) -1.1 / 3.7 (-31%) -6.9 / 6.85 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 15.25 6.6 43% -0.2 / 5 (-4%) 1.1 / 3.75 (29%) 5.7 / 6.5 (88%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 15 -5.1 -34% -1.1 / 7 (-15%) -3.3 / 3.75 (-87%) -0.8 / 4.25 (-18%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 13.85 -6.4 -46% 1.5 / 6 (24%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -6.6 / 6.6 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 15.5 -14.3 -92% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 2.75 (-55%) -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 12.75 -5.0 -40% 1.2 / 6.5 (18%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)


Winning Events: 5 (29%)
Losing Events: 12 (71%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.12 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.75 units
Best Event: 6.59 units
Worst Event: -14.25 units
Average Event: -3.51 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -30.74

The Degenerate Mark: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 240.1 -59.6 -25% -15.9 / 110.5 (-14%) -36.0 / 85.9 (-42%) 5 / 12 (29%) -3.51

The Degenerate Mark: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Degenerate Mark: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 240.1 -59.6 -25% -15.9 / 110.5 (-14%) -7.8 / 43.7 (-18%) -36.0 / 85.9 (-42%)

The Degenerate Mark: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (7%) 4 80 % 10.00 2.16 0.43 22%
Slight Favorites 33 (46%) 18 55 % 60.50 -4.95 -0.15 -8%
Slight Underdogs 25 (35%) 9 36 % 32.00 -5.13 -0.21 -16%
Big Underdogs 8 (11%) 0 0 % 8.00 -8.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (18%) 9 69 % 21.00 7.97 0.61 38%
Co-Main Event 10 (14%) 4 40 % 12.50 -3.48 -0.35 -28%
Position 3-5 11 (15%) 4 36 % 20.00 -5.13 -0.47 -26%
6+ (Undercard) 37 (52%) 14 38 % 57.00 -15.27 -0.41 -27%

The Degenerate Mark: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (4%) 3 100 % 4.00 3.50 1.17 88%
Light Heavy 5 (7%) 2 40 % 6.00 -0.65 -0.13 -11%
Middleweight 9 (13%) 3 33 % 13.50 -7.08 -0.79 -52%
Welterweight 8 (11%) 2 25 % 13.50 -7.49 -0.94 -55%
Lightweight 7 (10%) 4 57 % 8.50 2.03 0.29 24%
Featherweight 16 (23%) 7 44 % 27.00 -5.57 -0.35 -21%
Bantamweight 7 (10%) 3 43 % 12.00 -0.87 -0.12 -7%
Flyweight 4 (6%) 2 50 % 7.00 0.00 0.00 0%
               
Women's Fights 12 (17%) 5 42 % 19.00 0.21 0.02 1%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 4 (6%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -1.50 -100%
Flyweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 3.10 3.10 155%
Strawweight 6 (8%) 4 67 % 10.00 4.11 0.69 41%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 322 (61%) 245 76 %
Slight Favorites 137 (26%) 70 51 %
Slight Underdogs 55 (10%) 17 31 %
Big Underdogs 11 (2%) 0 0 %
525 332 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (1%) 0 0 %
50-65% 20 (29%) 11 55 %
35-50% 14 (21%) 5 36 %
<35% chance 33 (49%) 5 15 %
68 21 31 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.81 2.10Pick was correct 1.59Pick was correct 1.7 (84%)
X Wins by KO 9 (13%) 3 33 % 3.16 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect 1.0 (11%)
X Wins by Sub 9 (13%) 2 22 % 5.19 8.50Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was correct -0.5 (-6%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (15%) 2 20 % 2.55 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct -4.3 (-43%)
X Wins Inside Distance 24 (35%) 8 33 % 2.06 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -10.7 (-45%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (4%) 1 33 % 2.65 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -0.7 (-25%)
Others 11 (16%) 3 27 % 3.41 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -4.5 (-40%)
68 21 31 % 2.66     -18.1 (-27%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Degenerate Mark's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 12.75 -5.0 -40% $10.00 $1,000.00 $949.52
20th Jan UFC 297 15.5 -14.3 -92% $9.50 $949.52 $814.21
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 13.85 -6.4 -46% $8.14 $814.21 $762.21
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 15 -5.1 -34% $7.62 $762.21 $723.66
17th Feb UFC 298 15.25 6.6 43% $7.24 $723.66 $771.35
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 15.05 -9.4 -62% $7.71 $771.35 $699.09
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 14 2.3 17% $6.99 $699.09 $715.44
9th Mar UFC 299 15.5 -3.7 -24% $7.15 $715.44 $689.18
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 14.85 3.4 23% $6.89 $689.18 $712.91
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 15.25 -3.6 -24% $7.13 $712.91 $686.94
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.75 -9.0 -48% $6.87 $686.94 $624.93
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 6.75 2.9 42% $6.25 $624.93 $642.77
13th Apr UFC 300 15.5 -3.5 -23% $6.43 $642.77 $619.96
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 10 -5.8 -58% $6.20 $619.96 $583.84
4th May UFC 301 16.85 -8.4 -50% $5.84 $583.84 $534.85
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 15 -1.0 -7% $5.35 $534.85 $529.36
18th May UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 10.25 0.4 4% $5.29 $529.36 $531.30


ROI % from starting bank balance: -46.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Degenerate Mark: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '24 Angela Hill Luana Pinheiro 1.67 2 Sub, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Lerone Murphy Edson Barboza 1.61 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Charles Johnson Jake Hadley 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Trey Waters Billy Goff 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Tabatha Ricci Tecia Torres 1.71 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Derrick Lewis Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1.59 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Joanderson Brito Jack Shore 1.57 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg 1.54 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Austin Hubbard Michal Figlak 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.77 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Damon Jackson Alexander Hernandez 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Jacob Malkoun Andre Petroski 1.45 2 TKO, R2 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Chidi Njokuani Rhys McKee 1.71 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Manon Fiorot Erin Blanchfield 2.55 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Fernando Padilla Luis Pajuelo 1.57 2 Sub, R1 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Rose Namajunas Amanda Ribas 1.50 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Jaqueline Amorim Cory McKenna 2.40 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:38) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Marcin Tybura Tai Tuivasa 1.91 2 Sub, R1 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '24 Kleydson Rodrigues Heili Alateng 1.67 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Carlston Harris Kalinn Williams 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Elves Brenner Myktybek Orolbai 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Tim Means Uros Medic 3.50 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Jonathan Pearce David Onama 1.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Matheus Nicolau Alex Perez 1.56 2 TKO, R2 (2:16) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Jessica Andrade 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Sodiq Yusuff Diego Lopes 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Holly Holm Kayla Harrison 4.25 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Aleksandar Rakic Jiri Prochazka 1.95 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.80 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Germaine de Randamie Norma Dumont 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Connor Matthews Dennis Buzukja 2.05 1 TKO, R3 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Jamall Emmers Nate Landwehr 1.54 2 TKO, R1 (4:43) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley 1.91 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Montserrat Rendon Dariya Zheleznyakova 2.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Ricardo Ramos Julian Erosa 1.57 2 Sub, R1 (2:15) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.91 2 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Joshua Culibao Danny Silva 1.54 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Degenerate Mark: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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