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MMA Handicapper Stats: Deep Fucking Value |
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Deep Fucking Value : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 11 (50%)
Losing Events: 11 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.95 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.25 units
Best Event: 5.43 units
Worst Event: -5.96 units
Average Event: -0.08 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -6.13 |
Deep Fucking Value : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
108.8 |
-1.7 |
-2% |
7.1 / 74.65 (10%) |
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-0.1 / 12 (-1%) |
11 / 11 (50%) |
-0.08 |
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Deep Fucking Value : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Deep Fucking Value : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
97.8 |
-2.8 |
-3% |
4.5 / 65.15 (7%) |
-8.7 / 22.15 (-39%) |
1.4 / 10.5 (13%) |
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PFL |
7.5 |
1.1 |
15% |
1.6 / 7 (23%) |
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-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
| Other |
3.5 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
1.0 / 2.5 (40%) |
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-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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Deep Fucking Value : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
8 (11%) |
4 |
50 % |
19.00 |
-2.96 |
-0.37 |
-16% |
| Slight Favorites |
23 (33%) |
16 |
70 % |
28.90 |
5.48 |
0.24 |
19% |
| Slight Underdogs |
30 (43%) |
17 |
57 % |
23.25 |
8.09 |
0.27 |
35% |
| Big Underdogs |
9 (13%) |
0 |
0 % |
3.50 |
-3.50 |
-0.39 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
14 (20%) |
8 |
57 % |
13.50 |
1.18 |
0.08 |
9% |
| Co-Main Event |
13 (19%) |
6 |
46 % |
11.45 |
-0.43 |
-0.03 |
-4% |
| Position 3-5 |
22 (31%) |
15 |
68 % |
33.70 |
8.93 |
0.41 |
27% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
21 (30%) |
8 |
38 % |
16.00 |
-2.57 |
-0.12 |
-16% |
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Deep Fucking Value : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
4 (6%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-0.75 |
-100% |
| Light Heavy |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
2.25 |
1.32 |
0.44 |
59% |
| Middleweight |
5 (7%) |
3 |
60 % |
8.00 |
0.66 |
0.13 |
8% |
| Welterweight |
13 (19%) |
9 |
69 % |
11.00 |
5.45 |
0.42 |
50% |
| Lightweight |
9 (13%) |
7 |
78 % |
11.00 |
3.45 |
0.38 |
31% |
| Featherweight |
17 (24%) |
10 |
59 % |
19.40 |
0.57 |
0.03 |
3% |
| Bantamweight |
8 (11%) |
2 |
25 % |
8.75 |
-0.45 |
-0.06 |
-5% |
| Flyweight |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
9.25 |
-0.44 |
-0.06 |
-5% |
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| Women's Fights |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.00 |
-0.44 |
-0.15 |
-22% |
| Flyweight |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.00 |
-0.44 |
-0.15 |
-22% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
24 (96%) |
17 |
71 % |
| Slight Favorites |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
25 |
18 |
72 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
5 (12%) |
5 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
9 (21%) |
2 |
22 % |
| 35-50% |
9 (21%) |
3 |
33 % |
| <35% chance |
19 (45%) |
3 |
16 % |
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42 |
13 |
31 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Deep Fucking Value 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
3.25 |
-0.7 |
-22% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$992.82 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
7 |
2.8 |
40% |
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$9.93 |
$992.82 |
$1,020.46 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
16.25 |
5.4 |
33% |
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$10.20 |
$1,020.46 |
$1,075.89 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
8.39 |
-0.6 |
-7% |
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$10.76 |
$1,075.89 |
$1,069.15 |
| 2nd Mar |
Oktagon 54 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
100% |
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$10.69 |
$1,069.15 |
$1,074.49 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
14.13 |
-6.0 |
-42% |
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$10.74 |
$1,074.49 |
$1,010.45 |
| 7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
0.5 |
0.4 |
87% |
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$10.10 |
$1,010.45 |
$1,014.84 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
11.7 |
3.5 |
30% |
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$10.15 |
$1,014.84 |
$1,050.82 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
2.5 |
0.1 |
4% |
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$10.51 |
$1,050.82 |
$1,051.87 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
3.6 |
2.9 |
80% |
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$10.52 |
$1,051.87 |
$1,082.06 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
3 |
-0.8 |
-27% |
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$10.82 |
$1,082.06 |
$1,073.40 |
| 4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
2.5 |
-0.9 |
-38% |
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$10.73 |
$1,073.40 |
$1,063.27 |
| 5th Apr |
LFA 181 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$10.63 |
$1,063.27 |
$1,052.63 |
| 6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
4.7 |
-3.4 |
-72% |
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$10.53 |
$1,052.63 |
$1,017.03 |
| 12th Apr |
PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season |
2 |
0.5 |
24% |
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$10.17 |
$1,017.03 |
$1,021.92 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
8.63 |
2.0 |
23% |
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$10.22 |
$1,021.92 |
$1,042.48 |
| 19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
2.5 |
1.2 |
47% |
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$10.42 |
$1,042.48 |
$1,054.68 |
| 27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
4.45 |
-3.1 |
-70% |
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$10.55 |
$1,054.68 |
$1,021.66 |
| 29th Apr |
Rizin 46 |
1 |
0.7 |
67% |
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$10.22 |
$1,021.66 |
$1,028.47 |
| 3rd May |
One Fight Night 22 |
1 |
-0.2 |
-18% |
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$10.28 |
$1,028.47 |
$1,026.65 |
| 4th May |
UFC 301 |
5.2 |
-3.5 |
-68% |
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$10.27 |
$1,026.65 |
$990.51 |
| 11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
5 |
-1.4 |
-29% |
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$9.91 |
$990.51 |
$976.25 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.38% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Deep Fucking Value : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
May '24 |
Charles Johnson |
Jake Hadley |
2.12 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 2. |
May '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
1.67 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 3. |
May '24 |
Akbar Abdullaev |
Halil Amir |
1.65 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:52) |
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| 4. |
Apr '24 |
Chihiro Suzuki |
Masanori Kanehara |
1.67 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:20) |
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| 5. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Perez |
Matheus Nicolau |
2.64 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:16) |
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| 6. |
Apr '24 |
Magomed Umalatov |
Andrey Koreshkov |
1.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 7. |
Apr '24 |
Adam Borics |
Enrique Barzola |
1.87 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 8. |
Apr '24 |
Brent Primus |
Bruno Miranda |
1.82 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:49) |
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| 9. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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| 10. |
Apr '24 |
Rob Wilkinson |
Tom Breese |
1.57 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:10) |
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| 11. |
Apr '24 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Charles Oliveira |
1.50 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
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| 13. |
Apr '24 |
Liz Carmouche |
Juliana Velasquez |
1.56 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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| 15. |
Mar '24 |
Youssef Zalal |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.37 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
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| 16. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.95 |
2.1 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
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| 17. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.60 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.63 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
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| 19. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Page |
Kevin Holland |
2.14 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. |
Mar '24 |
Petr Yan |
Yadong Song |
1.91 |
2.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Deep Fucking Value : Progress Chart |
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