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MMA Handicapper Stats: KimuraCapper

KimuraCapper (Goodplayer55)


MMA MHandicapper - KimuraCapper

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 43 (56%) Right 29 (62%) Right 11 (50%) Right 3 (38%)
Wrong 34 (44%) Wrong 18 (38%) Wrong 11 (50%) Wrong 5 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.04 Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds 2.00
Units Bet 85.6 Units Bet 55.0 Units Bet 20.6 Units Bet 10.0
Avg Bet 1.11 Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 0.94 Avg Bet 1.25
Units Profit 11.92 Units Profit 13.17 Units Profit 1.37 Units Profit -2.61
ROI % 14% ROI % 24% ROI % 7% ROI % -26%
View Handicapper's Profile

KimuraCapper : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 10.25 -1.3 -13% -1.8 / 7 (-26%) -0.5 / 2.25 (-20%) 1.0 / 1 (97%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 20.6 7.6 37% 4.7 / 10 (47%) 2.8 / 10.6 (27%)
4th May '24 Oktagon 57 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 7.25 0.8 11% -0.1 / 2 (-5%) 0.2 / 2.75 (9%) 0.6 / 2.5 (24%)
20th Apr '24 Cage Warriors 171 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 8 -1.0 -12% 0.0 / 7 (0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 15 -0.2 -1% 2.7 / 6 (46%) -1.3 / 5 (-25%) -1.7 / 4 (-42%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 8.5 3.0 35% 3.0 / 8.5 (35%)
23rd Mar '24 Oktagon 55 4 2.5 62% 2.5 / 4 (62%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 9.5 3.1 33% 3.1 / 9.5 (33%)


Winning Events: 5 (50%)
Losing Events: 5 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.60 units
Best Event: 7.56 units
Worst Event: -1.50 units
Average Event: 1.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -2.70

KimuraCapper : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 85.6 11.9 14% 13.2 / 55 (24%) -2.6 / 10 (-26%) 5 / 5 (50%) 1.19

KimuraCapper : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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KimuraCapper : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 71.1 12.9 18% 11.7 / 43 (27%) 1.4 / 20.6 (7%) -0.1 / 7.5 (-1%)
PFL 8 -1.0 -12% 0.0 / 7 (0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other 6.5 -0.0 -0% 1.5 / 5 (30%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

KimuraCapper : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (4%) 2 100 % 3.00 1.34 0.67 45%
Slight Favorites 23 (48%) 18 78 % 36.00 10.86 0.47 30%
Slight Underdogs 19 (40%) 10 53 % 14.25 2.71 0.14 19%
Big Underdogs 4 (8%) 0 0 % 1.75 -1.75 -0.44 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (13%) 5 83 % 7.50 3.76 0.63 50%
Co-Main Event 4 (8%) 2 50 % 2.25 -0.18 -0.05 -8%
Position 3-5 8 (17%) 7 88 % 8.50 6.72 0.84 79%
6+ (Undercard) 30 (63%) 16 53 % 36.75 2.87 0.10 8%

KimuraCapper : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (13%) 2 33 % 8.50 -5.14 -0.86 -61%
Light Heavy 4 (8%) 3 75 % 4.75 2.99 0.75 63%
Middleweight 3 (6%) 3 100 % 4.00 2.58 0.86 65%
Welterweight 7 (15%) 4 57 % 5.50 0.84 0.12 15%
Lightweight 9 (19%) 4 44 % 10.75 1.02 0.11 9%
Featherweight 6 (13%) 4 67 % 8.00 2.42 0.40 30%
Bantamweight 4 (8%) 4 100 % 5.00 4.35 1.09 87%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 1.50 0.33 0.17 22%
               
Women's Fights 7 (15%) 5 71 % 7.00 3.77 0.54 54%
Flyweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 2.00 1.31 0.44 65%
Strawweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 5.00 2.46 0.62 49%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (82%) 7 78 %
Slight Favorites 2 (18%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
11 7 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (22%) 4 67 %
50-65% 11 (41%) 7 64 %
35-50% 6 (22%) 3 50 %
<35% chance 4 (15%) 1 25 %
27 15 56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (7%) 1 50 % 1.40 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was incorrect -0.7 (-35%)
X Wins by KO 5 (19%) 2 40 % 3.00 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct 0.1 (2%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (22%) 3 50 % 1.97 3.15Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-7%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (11%) 1 33 % 2.54 4.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -0.8 (-27%)
Others 11 (41%) 8 73 % 1.65 2.20Pick was correct 1.36Pick was incorrect 2.4 (22%)
27 15 56 % 1.93     0.6 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail KimuraCapper 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Mar UFC 299 9.5 3.1 33% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,026.33
23rd Mar Oktagon 55 4 2.5 62% $10.26 $1,026.33 $1,051.78
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 8.5 3.0 35% $10.52 $1,051.78 $1,083.50
13th Apr UFC 300 15 -0.2 -1% $10.84 $1,083.50 $1,081.28
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 8 -1.0 -12% $10.81 $1,081.28 $1,070.48
20th Apr Cage Warriors 171 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.70 $1,070.48 $1,054.43
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 7.25 0.8 11% $10.54 $1,054.43 $1,062.47
4th May Oktagon 57 1 -1.0 -100% $10.62 $1,062.47 $1,051.85
4th May UFC 301 20.6 7.6 37% $10.52 $1,051.85 $1,131.38
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 10.25 -1.3 -13% $11.31 $1,131.38 $1,116.39


ROI % from starting bank balance: 11.64% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

KimuraCapper : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '24 Tabatha Ricci Tecia Torres 1.71 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.83 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Derrick Lewis Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1.67 1 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Joanderson Brito Jack Shore 1.67 2 TKO, R2 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Drakkar Klose Joaquim Silva 1.56 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Jose Aldo Jonathan Martinez 2.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Alessandro Costa Kevin Borjas 1.83 1 TKO, R2 (1:35) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Mauricio Ruffy Jamie Mullarkey 1.77 3 TKO, R1 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Karine Silva Ariane Lipski 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Tyler Diamond Otto Rodrigues 2.25 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Adam Borics Enrique Barzola 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Magomed Umalatov Andrey Koreshkov 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.77 2 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Diego Lopes Sodiq Yusuff 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (1:29) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.80 0.5 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Michael Parkin Mohammed Usman 1.69 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Miles Johns Cody Gibson 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Payton Talbott Cameron Saaiman 1.87 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Edmen Shahbazyan AJ Dobson 1.56 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:33) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '24 Jake Hadley Charles Johnson 1.71 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper 1.71 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Robelis Despaigne Waldo Cortes-Acosta 1.63 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Miroslav Brož Christian Eckerlin 2.50 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Tayo Odunjo Endrit Brajshori 2.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Ernesta Kareckaite Dione Barbosa 3.10 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Elves Brenner Myktybek Orolbai 3.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Iasmin Lucindo 4.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Caio Machado (2) Don'tale Mayes 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Brennan Ward Don Madge 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Brett Johns Timur Khizriev 3.75 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Bubba Jenkins Kai Kamaka 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.80 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Kurt Holobaugh Trey Ogden 2.24 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Justin Tafa Karl Williams 2.55 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Jeremy Kimball Alexander Poppeck 2.70 0.75 TKO, R1 (3:30) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Paid Pick Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.91 3 TKO, R2 (0:36) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

KimuraCapper : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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