MMA Handicapper Stats: Dawson Fudge |
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Dawson Fudge: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 4 (44%) Losing Events: 5 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.22 units Most Staked On One Event: 19.25 units Best Event: 9.32 units Worst Event: -9.77 units Average Event: -1.27 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.32 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -10.21 |
Dawson Fudge: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
101 |
-11.5 |
-11% |
-5.1 / 43 (-12%) |
|
0.2 / 14.45 (2%) |
4 / 5 (44%) |
-1.27 |
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Dawson Fudge: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Dawson Fudge: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
101 |
-11.5 |
-11% |
-5.1 / 43 (-12%) |
-6.6 / 43.55 (-15%) |
0.2 / 14.45 (2%) |
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Dawson Fudge: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-0.94 |
-0.47 |
-23% |
Slight Favorites |
13 (38%) |
6 |
46 % |
18.00 |
-2.95 |
-0.23 |
-16% |
Slight Underdogs |
17 (50%) |
7 |
41 % |
18.00 |
1.75 |
0.10 |
10% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (6%) |
0 |
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
4 (12%) |
2 |
50 % |
6.50 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
7.00 |
0.90 |
0.18 |
13% |
Position 3-5 |
6 (18%) |
1 |
17 % |
8.00 |
-6.20 |
-1.03 |
-78% |
6+ (Undercard) |
19 (56%) |
9 |
47 % |
21.50 |
0.15 |
0.01 |
1% |
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Dawson Fudge: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (15%) |
3 |
60 % |
6.50 |
-0.00 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Light Heavy |
3 (9%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.50 |
-2.05 |
-0.68 |
-37% |
Middleweight |
3 (9%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
-0.75 |
-0.25 |
-25% |
Welterweight |
2 (6%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
3 (9%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.00 |
0.60 |
0.20 |
12% |
Featherweight |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
5.50 |
-0.30 |
-0.06 |
-5% |
Bantamweight |
6 (18%) |
2 |
33 % |
6.00 |
-1.90 |
-0.32 |
-32% |
Flyweight |
4 (12%) |
3 |
75 % |
5.50 |
2.62 |
0.65 |
48% |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Women's Fights |
3 (9%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.00 |
-1.35 |
-0.45 |
-34% |
Flyweight |
2 (6%) |
|
0 % |
2.50 |
-2.50 |
-1.25 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.15 |
1.15 |
77% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
18 (64%) |
12 |
67 % |
Slight Favorites |
7 (25%) |
5 |
71 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (7%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
28 |
17 |
61 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
15 (16%) |
10 |
67 % |
50-65% |
12 (13%) |
5 |
42 % |
35-50% |
22 (23%) |
8 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
47 (49%) |
7 |
15 % |
|
96 |
30 |
31 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Dawson Fudge's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Dawson Fudge: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Viacheslav Borshchev |
Chase Hooper |
1.67 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Robelis Despaigne |
Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
1.59 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Billy Goff |
Trey Waters |
2.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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5. |
May '24 |
Jack Shore |
Joanderson Brito |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
No |
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6. |
Apr '24 |
Ariane Lipski |
Karine Silva |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.59 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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8. |
Apr '24 |
Ryan Spann |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.53 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
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9. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.85 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
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10. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
No |
|
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11. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.87 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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12. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Manon Fiorot |
1.57 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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14. |
Mar '24 |
Vicente Luque |
Joaquin Buckley |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
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15. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
2.00 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
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16. |
Mar '24 |
Igor da Silva |
Andre Lima |
2.40 |
1 |
|
No |
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17. |
Mar '24 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Payton Talbott |
2.25 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
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18. |
Mar '24 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Marcin Tybura |
1.91 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
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19. |
Mar '24 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Michel Pereira |
2.25 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
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20. |
Mar '24 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Kyler Phillips |
2.80 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Dawson Fudge: Progress Chart |
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