MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dirty Degen

Dirty Degen (dirtydegen)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	21 (45%)	Right	16 (59%)	Right	3 (30%)	Right	2 (20%)
Wrong	26 (55%)	Wrong	11 (41%)	Wrong	7 (70%)	Wrong	8 (80%)
Avg Odds	2.46	Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	4.94	Avg Odds	4.06
Units Bet	74.7	Units Bet	65.0	Units Bet	3.3	Units Bet	6.4
Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	2.41	Avg Bet	0.33	Avg Bet	0.64
Units Profit	-3.22	Units Profit	-1.60	Units Profit	1.53	Units Profit	-3.15
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	46%	ROI %	-49%

Dirty Degen: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th May '24	Fury FC 90	3.7	2.3	62%	2.3 / 3.7 (62%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	17.55	-6.5	-37%	-4.8 / 12.7 (-37%)	1.4 / 1.65 (87%)	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
11th May '24	KSW 94	5.73	-1.2	-21%	-1.2 / 5.73 (-21%)
11th May '24	Brave CF 82	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th May '24	PFL MENA 1: Riyadh	2.6	1.4	55%	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)		0.4 / 1 (44%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	23.15	5.0	21%	4.9 / 20.5 (24%)	0.2 / 2.5 (10%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
4th May '24	Oktagon 57	2.7	1.8	68%	1.8 / 2.7 (68%)
3rd May '24	One Fight Night 22	1.45	1.0	69%	1.0 / 1.45 (69%)
3rd May '24	LFA 183	1.85	0.9	51%	1.0 / 1.8 (56%)		-0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)
29th Apr '24	Rizin 46	2.7	1.5	54%	1.5 / 2.7 (54%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	14.25	-9.3	-65%	-9.1 / 12.1 (-75%)	-0.2 / 2.15 (-7%)
26th Apr '24	LFA 182	1	0.8	81%			0.8 / 1 (81%)

Winning Events: 8 (67%)
Losing Events: 4 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.47 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.15 units
Best Event: 4.98 units
Worst Event: -9.25 units
Average Event: -0.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 11.66
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.25

Dirty Degen: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	77.68	-3.2	-4%	-1.6 / 64.98 (-2%)		-3.2 / 6.4 (-49%)	8 / 4 (67%)	-0.27

Dirty Degen: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dirty Degen: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	54.95	-10.8	-20%	-9.0 / 45.3 (-20%)	1.5 / 6.3 (24%)	-3.4 / 3.35 (-100%)
PFL	2.6	1.4	55%	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)		0.4 / 1 (44%)
Other	20.13	6.1	30%	6.4 / 18.08 (35%)		-0.2 / 2.05 (-12%)

Dirty Degen: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (17%)	5	71 %	18.70	0.82	0.12	4%
Slight Favorites	24 (59%)	16	67 %	37.98	2.79	0.12	7%
Slight Underdogs	5 (12%)	2	40 %	6.00	-2.90	-0.58	-48%
Big Underdogs	5 (12%)	0	0 %	2.30	-2.30	-0.46	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (17%)	7	100 %	14.15	7.97	1.14	56%
Co-Main Event	11 (27%)	6	55 %	19.70	-4.45	-0.40	-23%
Position 3-5	8 (20%)	4	50 %	9.90	-0.20	-0.02	-2%
6+ (Undercard)	15 (37%)	6	40 %	21.23	-4.92	-0.33	-23%

Dirty Degen: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	4.10	0.40	0.20	10%
Light Heavy	4 (10%)	1	25 %	7.00	-5.90	-1.48	-84%
Middleweight	5 (12%)	5	100 %	6.50	4.25	0.85	65%
Welterweight	3 (7%)	3	100 %	3.50	2.74	0.91	78%
Lightweight	8 (20%)	5	63 %	13.45	1.88	0.23	14%
Featherweight	9 (22%)	4	44 %	10.70	-0.24	-0.03	-2%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Flyweight	4 (10%)	4	100 %	10.00	5.01	1.25	50%

Women's Fights	5 (12%)		0 %	6.73	-6.73	-1.35	-100%
Flyweight	3 (7%)		0 %	5.73	-5.73	-1.91	-100%
Strawweight	2 (5%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-0.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (37%)	6	86 %
Slight Favorites	5 (26%)	2	40 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (21%)	1	25 %
Big Underdogs	3 (16%)	1	33 %
	19	10	53 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (7%)	0	0 %
50-65%	3 (20%)	2	67 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	11 (73%)	1	9 %
	15	3	20 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.74	1.74	1.74	0.7 (74%)
X Wins by KO	1 (7%)	0	0 %	6.00	6.00	6.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (27%)	0	0 %	5.37	10.00	3.75	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (13%)	1	50 %	11.30	13.00	10.00	8.0 (400%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (13%)	0	0 %	9.26	11.00	8.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	5 (33%)	1	20 %	2.40	12.00	1.53	-1.4 (-28%)
	15	3	20 %	3.78			0.3 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dirty Degen's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
26th Apr	LFA 182	1	0.8	81%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,008.06
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	14.25	-9.3	-65%		$10.08	$1,008.06	$914.81
29th Apr	Rizin 46	2.7	1.5	54%		$9.15	$914.81	$928.17
3rd May	LFA 183	1.85	0.9	51%		$9.28	$928.17	$936.98
3rd May	One Fight Night 22	1.45	1.0	69%		$9.37	$936.98	$946.35
4th May	Oktagon 57	2.7	1.8	68%		$9.46	$946.35	$963.72
4th May	UFC 301	23.15	5.0	21%		$9.64	$963.72	$1,011.68
10th May	PFL MENA 1: Riyadh	2.6	1.4	55%		$10.12	$1,011.68	$1,026.25
11th May	Brave CF 82	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.26	$1,026.25	$1,015.99
11th May	KSW 94	5.73	-1.2	-21%		$10.16	$1,015.99	$1,003.49
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	17.55	-6.5	-37%		$10.03	$1,003.49	$938.12
12th May	Fury FC 90	3.7	2.3	62%		$9.38	$938.12	$959.74

ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dirty Degen: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Luis Hernandez	Nick Lancaster	1.87	1.5	Sub, R1 (2:56)
2.	May '24	Isaiah Diggs	Kyle Todrank	1.45	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	May '24	Joaquin Buckley	Nursulton Ruziboev	1.78	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '24	Arkadiusz Wrzosek	Artur Szpilka	1.29	3.5	TKO, R1 (0:14)
5.	May '24	Islam Reda	Adam Meskini	1.63	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '24	Joaquin Buckley	Nursulton Ruziboev	1.69	1.45	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '24	Joaquin Buckley	Nursulton Ruziboev	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	May '24	Joaquin Buckley	Nursulton Ruziboev	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	May '24	Alexandre Pantoja	Steve Erceg	1.54	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	May '24	Alexandre Pantoja	Steve Erceg	1.56	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	May '24	Christian Eckerlin	Miroslav Brož	1.67	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:49)
12.	May '24	Lucas Fernando	Joao Paulo Silva	1.56	1.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	May '24	Akbar Abdullaev	Halil Amir	1.69	1.45	TKO, R2 (2:52)
14.	May '24	Endrit Brajshori	Tayo Odunjo	1.87	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '24	Pavol Langer	Marc Doussis	2.20	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:6)
16.	May '24	Drakkar Klose	Joaquim Silva	1.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.67	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:35)
18.	May '24	Alexandre Pantoja	Steve Erceg	1.50	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	May '24	Alexandre Pantoja	Steve Erceg	1.45	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Apr '24	Chihiro Suzuki	Masanori Kanehara	1.80	1.2	TKO, R1 (4:20)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Patryk Kaczmarczyk	Robert Ruchala	2.45	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:59)	No
2.	May '24	Adrianna Kreft	Mafalda Carmona	1.58	1.73	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chase Hooper	1.76	1	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No
4.	May '24	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chase Hooper	1.62	2	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No
5.	May '24	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chase Hooper	1.57	1	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No
6.	May '24	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Iasmin Lucindo	4.55	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '24	Agy Sardari	Losene Keita	6.00	0.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '24	J.J. Aldrich	Veronica Macedo	2.31	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Sora Yamamoto	Ilkhom Nazimov	3.95	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:39)	No
10.	May '24	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Iasmin Lucindo	4.30	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.68	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '24	Austen Lane	Jhonata Diniz	3.70	0.6	TKO, R2 (2:12)	No
13.	Apr '24	Ryan Spann	Bogdan Guskov	1.60	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:16)	No
14.	Apr '24	Ryan Spann	Bogdan Guskov	1.50	1	TKO, R2 (3:16)	No
15.	Apr '24	Jonathan Pearce	David Onama	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '24	J.J. Aldrich	Veronica Macedo	2.26	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '24	Jonathan Pearce	David Onama	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '24	Ryan Spann	Bogdan Guskov	1.50	4	TKO, R2 (3:16)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dirty Degen: Progress Chart

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