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MMA Handicapper Stats: Seamus OConnell |
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Seamus OConnell: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 18 (67%) Losing Events: 9 (33%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.15 units Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units Best Event: 26.95 units Worst Event: -16.48 units Average Event: 2.01 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.56 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -24.48 |
Seamus OConnell: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
8 |
2.3 |
29% |
2.3 / 8 (29%) |
|
|
2 / 1 (67%) |
0.77 |
2021 |
23 |
17.8 |
77% |
17.8 / 23 (77%) |
|
|
2 / 3 (40%) |
3.56 |
2018 |
26 |
2.0 |
8% |
2.0 / 26 (8%) |
|
|
1 / 2 (33%) |
0.67 |
2017 |
48 |
24.7 |
52% |
24.7 / 48 (52%) |
|
|
6 / 1 (86%) |
3.53 |
2016 |
88 |
7.5 |
8% |
7.5 / 88 (8%) |
|
|
7 / 2 (78%) |
0.83 |
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Seamus OConnell: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Seamus OConnell: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
193 |
54.3 |
28% |
54.3 / 193 (28%) |
|
|
|
Seamus OConnell: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
12 (22%) |
9 |
75 % |
41.00 |
6.87 |
0.57 |
17% |
Slight Favorites |
14 (26%) |
10 |
71 % |
64.00 |
21.38 |
1.53 |
33% |
Slight Underdogs |
12 (22%) |
3 |
25 % |
42.00 |
-4.33 |
-0.36 |
-10% |
Big Underdogs |
16 (30%) |
5 |
31 % |
46.00 |
30.38 |
1.90 |
66% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
19 (35%) |
9 |
47 % |
83.00 |
37.84 |
1.99 |
46% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (9%) |
4 |
80 % |
14.00 |
13.08 |
2.62 |
93% |
Position 3-5 |
17 (31%) |
8 |
47 % |
66.00 |
9.78 |
0.58 |
15% |
6+ (Undercard) |
13 (24%) |
6 |
46 % |
30.00 |
-6.41 |
-0.49 |
-21% |
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Seamus OConnell: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (19%) |
6 |
60 % |
47.00 |
16.09 |
1.61 |
34% |
Light Heavy |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
24.00 |
13.95 |
3.49 |
58% |
Middleweight |
11 (20%) |
8 |
73 % |
31.00 |
23.21 |
2.11 |
75% |
Welterweight |
8 (15%) |
4 |
50 % |
31.00 |
10.83 |
1.35 |
35% |
Lightweight |
9 (17%) |
2 |
22 % |
25.00 |
-12.04 |
-1.34 |
-48% |
Featherweight |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
22.00 |
6.34 |
1.27 |
29% |
Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-1.48 |
-0.74 |
-37% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
8.00 |
-1.61 |
-0.40 |
-20% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
7.00 |
-0.61 |
-0.20 |
-9% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Seamus OConnell's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
30th Jan |
UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader |
19 |
0.2 |
1% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,002.33 |
6th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson |
3 |
8.6 |
285% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.33 |
$1,088.03 |
27th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping |
4 |
10.3 |
257% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,088.03 |
$1,199.88 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$12.00 |
$1,199.88 |
$1,093.89 |
23rd Apr |
UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux |
19 |
-16.5 |
-87% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.89 |
$913.62 |
24th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia |
11 |
4.6 |
42% |
|
$9.14 |
$913.62 |
$955.83 |
12th Nov |
UFC 205 - New York City |
12 |
1.0 |
9% |
|
$9.56 |
$955.83 |
$965.86 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 102 Albany |
4 |
2.2 |
54% |
|
$9.66 |
$965.86 |
$986.72 |
10th Dec |
UFC 206 |
8 |
5.0 |
63% |
|
$9.87 |
$986.72 |
$1,036.46 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne |
8 |
7.3 |
91% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.46 |
$1,111.91 |
4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$11.12 |
$1,111.91 |
$1,012.96 |
8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
12 |
1.2 |
10% |
$10 |
$10.13 |
$1,012.96 |
$1,015.11 |
13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
11 |
9.2 |
84% |
$10 |
$10.15 |
$1,015.11 |
$1,098.94 |
3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
5 |
6.4 |
128% |
$10 |
$10.99 |
$1,098.94 |
$1,159.28 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
2 |
4.0 |
200% |
|
$11.59 |
$1,159.28 |
$1,205.65 |
8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
2 |
4.6 |
230% |
|
$12.06 |
$1,205.65 |
$1,261.11 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,261.11 |
$1,235.89 |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
16 |
4.3 |
27% |
$10 |
$12.36 |
$1,235.89 |
$1,278.66 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
8 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
|
$12.79 |
$1,278.66 |
$1,275.33 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,275.33 |
$1,211.57 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.12 |
$1,211.57 |
$1,199.45 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.99 |
$1,199.45 |
$1,151.47 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
11 |
26.9 |
245% |
|
$11.51 |
$1,151.47 |
$1,461.79 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
2 |
0.8 |
42% |
|
$14.62 |
$1,461.79 |
$1,474.07 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
3 |
1.8 |
59% |
|
$14.74 |
$1,474.07 |
$1,500.16 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.00 |
$1,500.16 |
$1,470.15 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
3 |
2.6 |
85% |
|
$14.70 |
$1,470.15 |
$1,507.64 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 50.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Seamus OConnell: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jul '22 |
Alex Pereira |
Sean Strickland |
1.85 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '22 |
Alex Pereira |
Bruno Silva |
1.59 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '21 |
Alex Pereira |
Andreas Michailidis |
1.42 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:18) |
|
|
4. |
Oct '21 |
Glover Teixeira |
Jan Blachowicz |
3.45 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (3:2) |
|
|
5. |
Oct '18 |
Tony Ferguson |
Anthony Pettis |
1.29 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
6. |
Jun '18 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Alistair Overeem |
1.59 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (2:56) |
|
|
7. |
Jun '18 |
Claudia Gadelha |
Carla Esparza |
1.23 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Jun '18 |
Colby Covington |
Rafael dos Anjos |
1.83 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Jun '18 |
Robert Whittaker |
Yoel Romero |
1.49 |
4 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Jul '17 |
Aleksei Oleinik |
Travis Browne |
3.30 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:44) |
|
|
11. |
Jun '17 |
Tim Boetsch |
Johny Hendricks |
3.00 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:46) |
|
|
12. |
Jun '17 |
Max Holloway |
Jose Aldo |
2.28 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:13) |
|
|
13. |
May '17 |
Demian Maia |
Jorge Masvidal |
1.84 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '17 |
Thiago Alves |
Patrick Cote |
2.20 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '17 |
Derrick Lewis |
Travis Browne |
1.91 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (3:12) |
|
|
16. |
Dec '16 |
Max Holloway |
Anthony Pettis |
1.63 |
8 |
TKO, R3 (4:50) |
|
|
17. |
Dec '16 |
Derrick Lewis |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
1.54 |
4 |
TKO, R4 (3:42) |
|
|
18. |
Nov '16 |
Frankie Edgar |
Jeremy Stephens |
1.30 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Nov '16 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.31 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '16 |
Conor McGregor |
Eddie Alvarez |
1.74 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:4) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '22 |
Chan Sung Jung |
Alex Volkanovski |
6.50 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Sep '21 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
Curtis Blaydes |
3.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Sep '21 |
Nick Diaz |
Robbie Lawler |
2.45 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Sep '21 |
Lauren Murphy |
Valentina Shevchenko |
10.80 |
1 |
TKO, R4 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Aug '21 |
Derrick Lewis |
Ciryl Gane |
3.70 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '21 |
Carlos Condit |
Max Griffin |
2.62 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jul '21 |
Kris Moutinho |
Sean O'Malley |
7.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:33) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jul '21 |
Conor McGregor |
Dustin Poirier |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '18 |
Conor McGregor |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
2.66 |
2 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jun '18 |
Joseph Benavidez |
Sergio Pettis |
1.45 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jun '18 |
Clay Guida |
Charles Oliveira |
2.30 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:18) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '18 |
Al Iaquinta |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
4.77 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '17 |
Anthony Johnson |
Daniel Cormier |
1.83 |
6 |
Sub, R2 (3:37) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '17 |
Mark Hunt |
Alistair Overeem |
2.23 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (1:44) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '17 |
Stephen Thompson |
Tyron Woodley |
1.71 |
4 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Nov '16 |
Chris Weidman |
Yoel Romero |
1.65 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (0:24) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '16 |
Rafael Natal |
Robert Whittaker |
3.79 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '16 |
Efrain Escudero |
Kevin Lee |
4.20 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '16 |
Juliana Lima |
Carla Esparza |
2.64 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '16 |
Andre Fili |
Yair Rodriguez |
2.38 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (2:15) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Seamus OConnell: Progress Chart |
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